Handicapping The Pulitzers: It's Not Pretty

Early last month, based on a list assembled (not completely correctly, as it turned out) by Editor & Publisher, Gawkers Balk and Choire sat down to handicap the Pulitzer race. [UPDATE: YES EDITOR & PUBLISHERS WAS ALMOST COMPLETELY CORRECT, FINE, STOP EMAILING US. (Apparently the prize board moved some things or something.) ANYWAY WE HAIL YOU, GREG MITCHELL AND STAFF, YOU ARE PULITZER KINGS!!] Well, the prizes have been awarded. How'd we do?

LOCAL REPORTING: The Miami Herald
Balk said: Baltimore Sun
Choire said: Baltimore Sun
Balk: 0, Choire: 0

INTERNATIONAL REPORTING: The Wall Street Journal
Balk said: The Wall Street Journal
Choire said: The Wall Street Journal
Balk: 1, Choire: 1

PUBLIC SERVICE: The Wall Street Journal
Balk said: The Wall Street Journal
Choire said: The Wall Street Journal
Balk: 2, Choire: 2

INVESTIGATIVE REPORTING: The Birmingham (Ala.) News
Balk said: Hartford Courant
Choire said: Hartford Courant
Balk: 2, Choire: 2
Note: The Birmingham (Ala.) News wasn't on the list we were going from. Not that it would have made a difference.

EXPLANATORY REPORTING: The Los Angeles Times
Balk said: The Los Angeles Times
Choire said: The Los Angeles Times
Balk: 3, Choire: 3

COMMENTARY: Cynthia Tucker
Balk said: Joe Nocera
Choire said:Joe Nocera
Balk: 3, Choire: 3

BREAKING NEWS REPORTING: The Oregonian
Balk said: The Oregonian
Choire said:The Oregonian
Balk: 4, Choire: 4

FEATURE WRITING: The New York Times
Balk said: The Oregonian
Choire said: The Oregonian
Balk: 4, Choire: 4

EDITORIAL CARTOONING: Newsday
Balk said: Detroit Free Press
Choire said: Detroit Free Press
Balk: 4, Choire: 4

So there you have it: Out of nine categories upon which we speculated, we were able to accurately predict less than half. In addition, we made exactly the same choices for every category. Why yes, we do cycle together! Things get ugly around here during the full moon. Also, we are not very good judges of what gets a Pulitzer. As we warned in the first place, our guesses were "lengthy, ill-informed, and almost certain to be incorrect." So, hey, we were right about that!

Earlier: Handicapping The Pulitzers