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    Handicapping The Pulitzers: It's Not Pretty

    pulitzer medalEarly last month, based on a list assembled (not completely correctly, as it turned out) by Editor & Publisher, Gawkers Balk and Choire sat down to handicap the Pulitzer race. [UPDATE: YES EDITOR & PUBLISHERS WAS ALMOST COMPLETELY CORRECT, FINE, STOP EMAILING US. (Apparently the prize board moved some things or something.) ANYWAY WE HAIL YOU, GREG MITCHELL AND STAFF, YOU ARE PULITZER KINGS!!] Well, the prizes have been awarded. How'd we do?

    LOCAL REPORTING: The Miami Herald
    Balk said: Baltimore Sun
    Choire said: Baltimore Sun
    Balk: 0, Choire: 0

    INTERNATIONAL REPORTING: The Wall Street Journal
    Balk said: The Wall Street Journal
    Choire said: The Wall Street Journal
    Balk: 1, Choire: 1

    PUBLIC SERVICE: The Wall Street Journal
    Balk said: The Wall Street Journal
    Choire said: The Wall Street Journal
    Balk: 2, Choire: 2

    INVESTIGATIVE REPORTING: The Birmingham (Ala.) News
    Balk said: Hartford Courant
    Choire said: Hartford Courant
    Balk: 2, Choire: 2
    Note: The Birmingham (Ala.) News wasn't on the list we were going from. Not that it would have made a difference.

    EXPLANATORY REPORTING: The Los Angeles Times
    Balk said: The Los Angeles Times
    Choire said: The Los Angeles Times
    Balk: 3, Choire: 3

    COMMENTARY: Cynthia Tucker
    Balk said: Joe Nocera
    Choire said:Joe Nocera
    Balk: 3, Choire: 3

    BREAKING NEWS REPORTING: The Oregonian
    Balk said: The Oregonian
    Choire said:The Oregonian
    Balk: 4, Choire: 4

    FEATURE WRITING: The New York Times
    Balk said: The Oregonian
    Choire said: The Oregonian
    Balk: 4, Choire: 4

    EDITORIAL CARTOONING: Newsday
    Balk said: Detroit Free Press
    Choire said: Detroit Free Press
    Balk: 4, Choire: 4

    So there you have it: Out of nine categories upon which we speculated, we were able to accurately predict less than half. In addition, we made exactly the same choices for every category. Why yes, we do cycle together! Things get ugly around here during the full moon. Also, we are not very good judges of what gets a Pulitzer. As we warned in the first place, our guesses were "lengthy, ill-informed, and almost certain to be incorrect." So, hey, we were right about that!

    Earlier: Handicapping The Pulitzers


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