It could be a combination of all those things. But I don't think it's surprising that he wouldn't run - he was only tempted by Paterson's weakness. The man has no interest in any kind of competitive or difficult election - he only wanted a cakewalk (as Paterson would have been). He is not remotely in the mix for the 2012 presidential nomination, has no interest in actually governing NY State (though, thanks to term limits being extended, he could run for mayor in 2013, god help us all), and can't handle another embarrassing loss. Kornacki had a good piece on Rudy's options in the Observer. [www.observer.com]
Oh also - Kerik's conviction doesn't exactly remove the political liability for Rudy. The guy was his choice for Sec. of Homeland Security and his longtime business partner.
@Peter Feld: Without term limits being extended, couldn't he have run again this time? I find it hard to believe that he would want to be Mayor again, nor do I think he would have much chance at winning that election.
@kneetoe: You're right, he could have - but he wouldn't have challenged Bloomberg (for whom the term limits were lifted). I think he likes being the sheriff in this town and if he thought the field was weak in four years, he could be tempted by the idea of a comeback. As to whether he'd win, I suspect you are right but don't want to underestimate his loyal following.
@BaconCat: I'm with you on that one. I'm so sick of hearing him and other people talk about how great he was after 9/11. What was he going to do, run away? He did what any other mayor of a big city would do in the same situation. And let's not forget the fact that he let workers in Ground Zero when he knew it wasn't safe, and now a lot of people are paying the price with serious health problems. Personally I'll never forgive him for "cleaning up" Times Square. I prefer the Times Square of the '70s - hookers, peep shows, junkies and drugs to what's there now. Toys R Us, Virgin, TGI Fridays? WTF??
@fuckingoldman: Well, if you ask a lot of firemen they consider him the 20th hijacker because he ushed for motorola to win the new walkie-talkie contract after they contributed 150,000 bucks to his campaign. Only one problem with that:
The fire department told old Rudy that the motorolas didn't work inside buildings and that had been a problem in the first attack on WTC. So a whole shitload of firement never heard the command to get out of the second tower. How he sleeps at night, I'll never know. The man deserves nothing short of hot coals up the ass.
I think Matt Fong in 1998 was a half legit challenge to Boxer. She ended up winning by something like 10 points, but I remember some Boxer supporters being at least a little nervous in the weeks before the election. Bill Jones, on the other hand.... #2010
The big problem for both parties is balkanization. There aren't very many reliable voting blocks any more, and candidates on both sides have shown they're willing to do almost anything necessary to get those blocks "locked up."
That being said, I think the increasing prevalence of "purity tests" among the Republicans and the lack of a coherent party message will ensure that they continue to marginalize themselves. Bill Buckley's characterization of conservatism as a force standing astride history shouting "stop" is frighteningly correct, and right now it feels like the whole Republican party is just yelling "STOP." That's not a party slogan, but the reds are working hard to make it one. #2010
Just remember, the alternative to Patterson is the one guy in Albany who is less likable than Spitzer, Andrew Cuomo, so get out your checkbooks and support this guy. It's just too bad Patterson isn't really, really fat. #davidpaterson
11/19/09
[www.observer.com]
Oh also - Kerik's conviction doesn't exactly remove the political liability for Rudy. The guy was his choice for Sec. of Homeland Security and his longtime business partner.
11/19/09
11/19/09
#tips
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11/19/09
The fire department told old Rudy that the motorolas didn't work inside buildings and that had been a problem in the first attack on WTC. So a whole shitload of firement never heard the command to get out of the second tower. How he sleeps at night, I'll never know. The man deserves nothing short of hot coals up the ass.
11/19/09
Edit: Nevermind, now I know he's the anchor on Good Morning America. Yeah, I can see why Giuliani wouldn't want to go up against him in an election.
11/19/09
11/19/09
I think he meant Andrew Cuomo. Chris is the good looking one. He has no interest in politics--just chasing tail.
11/19/09
#tips
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11/19/09
[cityfile.com]
11/09/09
Yeah, let's go with rehab. #2010
11/09/09
11/09/09
That being said, I think the increasing prevalence of "purity tests" among the Republicans and the lack of a coherent party message will ensure that they continue to marginalize themselves. Bill Buckley's characterization of conservatism as a force standing astride history shouting "stop" is frighteningly correct, and right now it feels like the whole Republican party is just yelling "STOP." That's not a party slogan, but the reds are working hard to make it one. #2010
11/06/09
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11/06/09