Gawker
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bill kristol
Bill Kristol, Palin Camp Lackey
One of the best parts of that juicy NYT story yesterday about all the infighting in the McCain- Palin campaign was the fact that a huge chunk of the story was given over to exploring who was leaking to sniveling conservative columnist Bill Kristol—a Times columnist! It's pretty unusual for a paper to start digging on its own columnist's confidential sources, but hey, it's Bill Kristol and nobody at the Times likes him, so they just went for it. That prompted some further review by the Daily Beast, which concluded, yep, Bill Kristol is basically just a lackey for political operatives: More »
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69
Comment by bjonston: Hey, before we start wishing each other a nice weekend, aren't we due for some Commies?!?!? 10 Responses | Other threads
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horse race
Your Guide To the Endless Newsweek Story on the Endless Campaign
Today, Newsweek posted the final chapter of their Special Election Project, the annual How He Did It book they've published for each presidential campaign since 1984 (when the answer was much easier: he just ran against Walter Mondale). The reporters assigned to the special project are embargoed from those publishing in the regular magazine, so they get jucier anecdotes, more hilarious quotes, and revealing stories, all of which are then packaged and in such a way as to make the winning campaign look like a well-oiled machine and the losing campaign look like a parade of idiots. Did you read the whole thing? We did! We'll share with you the funniest bits, the important takeaway, and the already solidifying conventional wisdom.
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By PareeneComment by HK_Guy: My eyes glazed over just seeing the posting, let alone the original. If I never read another word about this... 7 Responses | Other threads
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nate silver
Stat Geek Called Election, Mulls Stats Empire
In case you didn't obsessively compare election results to his site in real time, it's worth noting that baseball stat whiz Nate Silver wholly justified his gushing press and nailed the popular vote. His prediction: 52.3 percent Obama, 46.3 percent McCain. Actuals: 52.4 percent Obama, 46.3 percent McCain. Within a tenth of a percent, bitches! Granted, there are a couple of million votes yet uncounted, but Silver has already extrapolated how those will play out, and he's still super-close. Unless you want to step to his stats?? Thought so. Silver may grow fabulously wealthy applying his battle-tested techniques to other realms, according to the Wall Street Journal: More »
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By Ryan TateComment by Aaron Altman: I imagine CNN making him into a hologram and delivering state-by-state results a la Minority Report. Something better than... 7 Responses | Other threads
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barack obama
President Obama In Black And White
In 1964, a group of black and white civil rights protesters attempted to integrate the pool of the Monson Hotel in St. Augustine, Florida. The hotel's owner, James Brock, responded by dumping acid into the pool. That was considered reasonable. This year, the Obama campaign opened a field office in St. Augustine, the most organized effort ever by a Democratic presidential campaign to win the Republican county surrounding my hometown. Obama ended up winning Florida and the entire country, a far stronger rebuke to the James Brocks of America than Martin Luther King Jr. was ever able to deliver. Jesse Jackson, who was there when King got shot, cried hardest of all last night. The old civil rights warriors feel this election more deeply than anyone else. The irony is that the civil rights movement never could have gotten to this day itself.
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Comment by ADismalScience: When I was in high school we did a Black History Month presentation in the auditorium. I didn't stand and... 10 Responses | Other threads
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fox news
Sad Fox News Uses 'Greenscreen' Tech From 19th Century
CNN has, as Barack Obama might put it, reshaped election night for the 21st Century, with holographic reporters and John King's famous, magical touchscreen. Over at Fox News, meanwhile, outgoing anchor Brit Hume is still coming to terms with basic "greenscreen" tech, the well-established technique in which a correspondent stands in front of a monochromatic background that is filled in later with special video equipment. More »
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By Ryan TateComment by Vivien Smith-Smythe-Smith: So tell me more about this internets... 1 Responses | Other threads
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clips
A Gawker Guide to the Most Awesomest Election Ever
It's over! It's all over! Tomorrow the campaign will be done! No more caring about what crazy things John McCain and his bitchy friend said on the news, no more feeling bad for him despite yourself, no more checking 538 (sorry Nate Silver, you're obsolete now!), no more forwarded YouTube clips from your mom, or your coworker, or some lunatic internet person. Boy, if we were assholes, we'd write something about how this was "the YouTube election." But instead we will just post the YouTubes themselves, from 2004 through the never-ending primaries, through the finally ending general election. All your favorites are here! Come pal around with crying Hillary the Senator, stare deep into Mike Gravel's eyes, and don't look your opponent in the eyes, after the jump. More »
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By PareeneComment by Rosie4Prez: Dude, chill with your constant Hillary bashing 18 Responses | Other threads
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rupert murdoch
Does Rupert Murdoch Wish The Post Had Endorsed Obama?
Has Rupert Murdoch made a terrible miscalculation? Michael Wolff thinks so! Wolff, Murdoch's newest biographer, says that the New York Post's uncharacteristically fawning Obama-centric cover today is Murdoch's way of apologizing to the future president (Obama) for the Post's endorsement of McCain. In fact, it's been widely rumored for months that Murdoch wanted the Post to endorse Obama. So what's going on here? More »
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Comment by BookishLookish: OT, but does anyone know why there has been a consistent police presence in front of the Post/FOX offices on... 4 Responses | Other threads
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media
Media Beginning to Realize That Someday This Election Will End
On this election day, the cold-blooded monsters like us whose business is our nation's flow of public information are thinking not about political hope, but about hope for continued high ratings; not about political change, but about people changing the channels. (Speechwriter-ly!). What it comes down to is this: once this election's over, will the public still care about all these media outlets who've been living it up thanks to public interest in politics? Let's round up the media's nervous take on the media's future! More »
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Comment by bringmemyTofu: Fuck the media. I need this election to be over. I am sitting in my cubicle, completely oblivious to anything... 12 Responses | Other threads
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horse race
Obama Election Day Photo Op Fail
According to Drudge, Barack Obama and his wife Michelle have taken "more than 15 minutes to vote." Maybe they're undecided? His link goes nowhere. Ben Smith doesn't report anything about how long it took Barack Obama to vote. Meanwhile: "HILLARY POLITICKING INSIDE NY POLLING AREA, ADVOCATES FOR OBAMA, 5 FEET FROM BOOTHS... DEVELOPING..." Once again, no link! But this is really a "fuck you, too late to not vote for me" move by the Obamas. Look who else voted at their polling place: More »
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By PareeneComment by HeatherFinkDeux: They didn't give me the I Voted sticker. America is a sham. 14 Responses | Other threads
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election
Networks So Ready To Call This Election
Network news divisions got skittish about calling presidential elections following their colossally terrible performance in 2000. In case you forgot, they all called Florida for Al Gore, then uncalled it, then called it for Bush (following in the trustworthy footsteps of Fox News!), then uncalled the whole election. Their newfound prudence was rewarded in 2004 when leaked exit polls said John Kerry had the whole thing in the bag (oops). But this year the TV guys have their swagger back. Here's a CBS News executive telling the Times why California can suck it: More »
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By Ryan TateComment by get the buttah: "Networks So Ready To Call This Election" Me too!! So much so that I can't sleep!! Ack! 14 Responses | Other threads
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Nick Kalm
The Wrongest Flack In America
PRWeek got predictions about the election from 30 flacks around the country. One (1) of them predicted a McCain victory. So be sure to hire Nick Kalm of Chicago's Reputation Partners for strategic counsel on how to horribly embarrass yourself in any large, public group! "Regardless of who wins, however, the level of partisan rancor will be so high, it will make people long for the 'good old days' of Bush's second term," he says. Okay, just for that we will print his entire god damn answer below: More »
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Comment by American Dreamer: i hooked up with the guy whose picture is posted with this article on craigslist just last week .....if I had... 10 Responses | Other threads
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joe the plumber
Joe The Plumber Will Starve Without McCain Victory!
Last week we had a very clear piece of advice for human campaign prop Joe "Wurzelbacher" The Plumber: get to plumbing! All this hype he's getting as a McCain hack isn't worth shit except free advertising for his core business of Roto-Rooting. But Joe has failed to heed our warning, surprisingly. He's broke, and he's not afraid to complain about it on national television shows such as the respected Inside Edition! Thank god those mysterious checks that appear in his mailbox regularly are at least temporarily offsetting the freeloading Obama supporters trying to take food off his family: More »
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Comment by American Dreamer: Seven reasons that Obama's policies will cost us jobs big time: (1) if you employ 25 or more people you will... 7 Responses | Other threads
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media
A Broken Media Looks Back At The Campaign
Now is the time when campaign reporters file their last, wistful dispatches of this hellbound two-year horse race. There is an absolute mess of these things! They all serve to fill space on the final, news-free days of the campaign, and also to remind readers of the invaluable role that the true heroes—political reporters—play in our democracy. We've slogged through the morass of remembrances today in order to answer the meta-question that really matters: what did this campaign mean to the media? More »
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Comment by MrInBetween: Nagourney and Wolfson scampering around Des Moines on Christmas night hunting for dinner, and ending up eating Peking Duck, would... 3 Responses | Other threads
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obama
Obama And McCain In Race-Switch Surprise!
Here, you see, an ad agency employee named Tor Myhren has designed a poster that asks the question: What if Barack Obama was a white dude named Chet who probably calls his girlfriend "Lovie," and John McCain was an elderly black man? I'll tell you what: McCain rallies would be much more interesting. It's a neat poster, but don't let it fall into the wrong hands (the hands of South Carolina). Larger version after the jump? Okay: More »
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Comment by TheHonJudgeSmails: Yep. I still wouldn't want to vote for either of them. Thanks. 18 Responses | Other threads
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john mccain
Depressed Journal Can't Bring Itself To Endorse McCain
Neocons the nation over got a little thrill up their legs this spring, when News Corporation overlord Rupert Murdoch said he might uncage the editorial-page pitbulls at his Wall Street Journal to issue presidential endorsements for the first time since Herbert Hoover was president (!). Sure, newspaper endorsements are useless in presidential races, but the Journal's frenzied rantings would have been kind of fun to read, assuming they did not give you rabies. But when the Journal issued its big McCain editorial this weekend, it was just all, "Meh, he's OK." More »
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By Ryan TateComment by American Dreamer: Good morning from Espoo my American friends! It is a bright morning here but to be even more bright morning... 11 Responses | Other threads
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john mccain
Why Did McCain Allow SNL Palin Slams?
John McCain was reasonably funny on Saturday Night Live last night, but the show's most entertaining moments came during Tina Fey's Sarah Palin impression in his opening sketch. One was a joke about Palin's $150,000 wardrobe, the other about how she wants to run in 2012. It's funny because Palin's a terrible, out-of-control pick of a running mate and because McCain is broke and doomed. Ha.... ha? In the attached clip, McCain says the SNL gig was to "humanize" him with people who don't watch Meet The Press, but instead it's already being read as a "big... 'fuck you'" to Palin. Credit should probably go to Fey: She's a charmer but will most definitely cut you. Sort of like Palin. Sketch highlights are after the jump. More »
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By Ryan TateComment by Weegee's bored: Call me a paranoid asshole ... okay, okay, I'm not paranoid ... but I keep believing that the real biggies... 27 Responses | Other threads
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career guide
A Career Guide for the Human Campaign Prop
Presidential elections aren't just about the candidates; they're about all the random crazy people only tangentially related to the candidates and their campaigns, the ones who are hyped into momentary superstardom by political reporters desperate for storylines. Or by the candidates themselves, desperate to deflect attention. The question for these random people is, how to capitalize on this brief and undeserved moment of fame? Joe the Plumber is determined to become a country music star! And he's just one of multitudes. We're here to help, fame whores! After the jump, we tell the incidental stars of this godforsaken election cycle what they should do with their lives after November 4, so that they may not be forgotten: More »
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Comment by llamalash★: Joe the Plumber fails to realize more than just the fleetingness of his fame. (did I just make up a... 21 Responses | Other threads
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barack obama
Obama To Not Blow Everything On Daily Show, Probably
A media pool report on Barack Obama's Daily Show taping indicated he handled the appearance with his usual calm rationality and didn't blow everything with an ill-advised gaffe, as nervous nellies (or anyone who has tracked Democratic presidential nominees for the past, oh, two decades) might worry he would. According to the Daily News' Mike McAuliff, the candidate (wisely!) wouldn't even indulge a joke about old people in Florida: More »
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By Ryan TateComment by steveholtsmother: That's surprising, I figured he would burst into song and try to french kiss Sam Bee. I have money on... 3 Responses | Other threads
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trends
Racists For Obama
This is the hot new trend of late October: openly racist white people for Obama! It began with random tales of canvassers talking to voters who plainly said they were "voting for nigger." Now, this kind of amazing photo of a home in Indiana with an Obama sign and a Confederate Flag has been making the rounds in the Tumblrverse. There are more illustrative anecdotes below!
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By PareeneComment by imjustskinny: Actually, the person who told me the worst, most racist jokes I've ever heard, so bad I had to go... 22 Responses | Other threads
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horse race
Obama Zinging Into Home Stretch
Barack Obama's finally taken a shot at Republican Vice Presidential charade Sarah Palin, America's Favorite Halloween Joke-slash-Future of the Republican Party. The official campaign ad repeats the fun old McCain quote about how he doesn't understand that "economy" thing and his VP pick will probably have to help him with math. Then, cut to Palin winking. Remember how she can't even wink correctly? It was stupid when George W. Bush winked in debates, but at least the man can actually wink. Palin flinches. When it comes to the economy, can America handle flinching? Until we read otherwise, we're going to assume this is one of those ads that are just sent to political journalists and not necessarily played on real tv? There isn't even any talking in it. Click through to watch, and also read a preview of a zinger to be delivered in North Carolina today! More »
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By PareeneComment by navidine: Why is everyone so concerned about Sarah Palin'squalifications, what has Barry done????? He's running for president with no experience and... 21 Responses | Other threads
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la times
Bounty On Terrorist Obama Muslim Tape Can Save Newspapers!
You may have heard that the Commie LA Times has in its possession a video of Barack Hussein Obama giving a speech in 2003 in which he declares his friendship with Rashid Khalidi, a Columbia professor and Palestinian activist who, clearly, probably knows some terrorists from the Middle East. The LAT says they won't release the video because they promised their confidential source they wouldn't, which is pretty ironclad reasoning. But the truth about these two Muslims and their plotting must come out—and be available on YouTube!—according to the McCain campaign. Luckily there's a way for the layoff-plagued newspaper to appear heroic and score some much-needed cash at the same time: More »
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Comment by Mount_Prion: B. Hussein Obama will rape all the white women because he's talked to professors from colleges that have names starting... 3 Responses | Other threads
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barack obama
Barack Obama On Daily Show Tomorrow. Eep.
Barack Obama is a stimulating speaker. The Daily Show is of course an entertaining and provocative show. Barack Obama on the Daily Show less than a week before the election? Stomach-knotting, sweat-inducing and nerve-wracking. It will be hard for supporters to laugh during Obama's confirmed appearance on the news-comedy show Wednesday if they spend the whole time cringing at the thought of the Democratic presidential nominee making some sort of gaffe that would blow his commanding lead over rival John McCain. Opponents, meanwhile, will be far more ready to laugh at Obama than with him. (Video from Obama's Aug. 2007 appearance is after the jump) More »
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By Ryan TateComment by get the buttah: I'm getting nervous about how they'll spin Obama's 1/2 hour commercial tomorrow. I mean.. apparently people won't be very happy... 12 Responses | Other threads
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campaigns
The Socialist Menace!
There is a spectre haunting the Conservative commentariat—the spectre of socialism! Barack Obama just might be the President, and should that happen, he will immediately redistribute all the wealth and hand over control of the means of production to the workers. Also the government will round up whitey and send him to reeducation camps run by the creepy YouTube singing children! We know all of this is true because Obama told a pretend plumber that he would "spread" the man's pretend "wealth around." Also he proposes some sort of "progressive income tax" policy and he said the words "redistribution of wealth" once on public radio. "Public" is code for Communist! This is seriously the dumbest attack yet in a season of incredibly dumb attacks. More »
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By PareeneComment by inflammatorywrit: I love how things like national health care and tax cuts for the poor and middle class are socialism. Last... 26 Responses | Other threads
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obama
'Whassup' Remix Changes Things
Remember those Budweiser "Whasssssssssupppppppppppp!!!" ads, that made you want to crush and kill everyone in your path? Yes, well someone has put the idea to use for the sake of good. We won't ruin the clip for you. We'll just say that this is two minutes of poignant political genius, and if you don't like it then you might as well just go live in a world in which you drink Budweisers all day with John McCain as Sarah Palin shouts "Whassssuupppp!!" in your ear, forever and ever. You must check it out kids: More »
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Comment by azilaw: Wait. So are hurricanes Bush's faul or McCain's fault. I cant keep the leftist propaganda in order. 12 Responses | Other threads
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lists
Our 5 Favorite Election Parody Videos
It's a stark reality of American politics that (gulp) most of the grainy election spoof videos that you find online are really terrible. Tired old jokes done unoriginally without any thought toward editing and seeing if your joke has been made five thousand times before. So it is a rare treat when you stumble upon a little gag clip skewering the presidential candidates (but, um, usually mostly John McCain—what's that thing about funny Conservatives, again?). Again, there aren't many, but there are a proud few. We've put five of our favorites (plus a little bonus!) after the jump. Feel free to add your own in the comments. More »
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Comment by MattGaymon: Nobody has sent ANY of these to me yet. And yet no less than four people have sent me this: +... 5 Responses | Other threads
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scenes from an election
Barack Obama Can Do Three Whole Pull-Ups
This picture of presidential hopeful Barack Obama doing pull-ups in Missoula, MT was taken by the photographer Callie Shell for Time magazine last April. I like it! Shell has snapped an entire collection of wistful shots of the great black/white Hope from Illinois, some grand and sweeping, others mundanely human. Just like those ones of his rival, John McCain! Click through for larger image.
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Comment by Pope John Peeps II: Senator Obama was doing press interviews by telephone in a holding room between events. Sometime later as he was getting... 21 Responses | Other threads
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horse race
'Times' Finally Reveals Who's Destroying McCain Campaign
The explosive New York Times Magazine story on the complete disarray of the McCain campaign is live online! It's full of revealing exclusive info that one was previously forced to just infer based on the available evidence! Like: the tone, strategy, and narrative of McCain's campaign has been inconsistent because the candidate himself is terrible with organization and consistency, and has relied on metanarrative crafter/biographer Mark Salter, Rovian media guru Steve Schmidt, and close friend and day-to-day campaign head Rick Davis to work it all out between the three of them. And there is infighting, of course, and everyone will soon blame everyone else, but honestly the ultimate responsibility for the failure of the campaign (should it fail in two weeks, obv) comes down to Senator McCain.
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By PareeneComment by Richard Lawson: Hawks. Hah. "Senator McCain likes to take his coffee by an old tree where hawks nest. He also prefers... 4 Responses | Other threads
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open caption
Little Piper Palin's $790 Designer Handbag
That's Piper Palin, Alaskan governor and vice presidential nominee Sarah Palin's 7-year-old daughter. In her hand is a $790 monogram Louis Vuitton handbag. That's over a hundred dollars per year of lil' Pipe's life! So maybe part of her mom's $150,000 Neiman Marcus shopping spree was picking up sweet ass designer shit for her chic and worldly seven-year-old. Or maybe Piper just saved her allowance for a real, real long time. Orrr... heh. It's fake. Who knows! [via Deceiver] -
obama
Obama Campaign Milks Star-Struck Media For Every Last Cent
The Obama campaign, not content with the eleventy billion dollars it raised last month, is going to squeeze countless thousands of dollars out of news outlets who want the "privilege" of covering election night in Chicago. That'll be $935 for access to the filing center, please. Or for those publications on a budget (all of them), $880 will buy you a nice spot on a riser! The public must know what the view is like from the sixth step on the riser there, fellas! The campaign says it's just covering costs, which would indicate risers made of white gold. Full rate card after the jump; reporters across the country are, right now, literally begging for their bosses to purchase them access to the heated section. Sad: More »
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Comment by Zorica: Spots on the couch at my place are going for $5 and a foot rub. Act now, it's a... 7 Responses | Other threads
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horse race
Colin Powell Endorses Barack Obama
Former Secretary of State under George W. Bush, Colin Powell, endorsed Barack Obama for President on Meet the Press this morning. Powell, a Republican and longtime friend of John McCain, said, "I think he is a transformational figure, he is a new generation coming onto the world stage, onto the American stage, and for that reason I'll be voting for Sen. Barack Obama... He's thinking that all villages have values, all towns have values, not just small towns have values." As for McCain and his supporters' straw-grasping, "terrorist" and "Muslim" talk, "I have been disappointed frankly in some of the approaches Senator McCain has taken recently... The party has moved even further to the right and Governor Palin has indicated a further rightward shift. I would have difficulty with two more conservative appointments to the Supreme Court, but that's what we'd be looking at in a McCain administration." Click through to watch the full endorsement.
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Comment by MrInBetween: Colin Powell went before the UN because his commander-in-chief instructed him to do so. Watch the video of his Iraq... 17 Responses | Other threads
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horse race
McCain Daughter Will Tattoo Self For 4 Electoral Votes
If John McCain wins New Hampshire, his blogger daughter Meghan promises to get a tattoo of their state motto. Keep the polls close, America—she'll promise Ohio sexy noodz by Halloween. [Wonkette]
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By PareeneComment by Aaron Altman: Does she realize a voter referendum in 1998 changed New Hampshire's motto from "Live Free or Die" to "Supercalifragilisticexpealidocious... Antidisestablishmentarianism... 5 Responses | Other threads
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gallery
The Definitive John McCain Crazy-Face Gallery
Republican presidential nominee John McCain finally made a much-belated appearance on Late Night with David Letterman last night, and he doddered his way through with his "legendary" sense of humor. He's like a grampa making silly jokes at your miserable family birthday party! And it's not just what comes out of his mouth that's funny, it's what he makes his face do—intentionally or not. Our videographer Richard Blakeley has sifted through dozens of photographs and video stills and found the best of McCain's crazy facial expressions. Some say he's on Adderall, others that he's just a weird, bemusing old dude who isn't quite spring chicken enough for the highest office in the land. We just think he makes funny faces. Take a look at the photos after the jump and decide for yourself.
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pic of the day
Snakes On A Plane
[From Getty Images, these are full-size cutouts of presidential candidate John McCain and his running mate, Marge Gunderson. The curtain separates the press from the real people on McCain's Straight Talk Air Express campaign plane.]
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Comment by FashionShowAtLunch: That can't be Marge -- Marge Gunderson is waaay smarter than that lady. 4 Responses | Other threads
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horse race
After Only 219 Years, Americans Tire Of Negative Ads
Negative ads usually work, despite the fact that everybody whines about them. Not this year! Political scientists (A real job title? Not sure) say that this year's campaign is—as old Bob Schieffer grouchily pointed out last night—the most negative in the history of history. But they also say that this time, that negativity is actually backfiring, for once. Apparently "imaginary bullshit" ranks lower on voters' priority lists than ever before: More »
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Comment by Lysergic Asset: Since "political science" is an actual graduate/postgraduate major, I'm guessing that "political scientist" is the (for-real) derivative job title. 4 Responses | Other threads
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debates
Defeated By His Temper
Sure, John McCain is a MAVERICK, but there is, as many voters have learned, a flipside to that. The Republican presidential nominee can be impulsive and temperamental, and it's only been getting worse toward the end of the campaign, making past incidents, like his hollering at Times reporter Elisabeth Bumiller or his meltdown in front of the New Republic's Jeff Dearth, look like part of a very real pattern. Last night's debate was probably the last straw. McCain posted his worst-yet ratings in the post-debate polls, with his numbers falling most sharply, within live-reaction panels, in the wake of his comments on William Ayers, ACORN and opponent Barack Obama's alleged negative campaigning (which voters were predisposed not to believe). His incessant face-pulling, insane blinking and cranky interrupting (see videos after the jump) were equally destructive to his cause. More »
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By Ryan TateComment by Seriously: Obama had his share of smug faces too - but clearly more controlled. Both candidates put me off last night. We... 12 Responses | Other threads
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videuhoh
Tired Old John McCain Just Recycling Speeches At This Point
You know when you're drunk and trying to have some sort of heated discussion about topics and you just keep repeating the same thing, slurry verbatim, over and over again? Well slogging your way through a presidential campaign is much the same! John McCain, for example, the flailing senator blown in by the desert winds of the American Southwest, is basically giving the same speech time after time. The wizards at The Daily Show, who tend to skip the mortal plane and transcend to god-like heights during election seasons, have mashed-up McCain's speech from the Republican National Convention and his most recent nĂ¼-McCain stump oratory. And they overlap almost perfectly. I'm sure the same could be said for Obama, but we're not going to harp on it because we're just so proud of him for being so articulate. Watch the clip above.
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Comment by T.S._delegate: "I grow old, I grow old. I do not think that I shall win the polls. Shall I scold the pundits one... 5 Responses | Other threads
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nate silver
Baseball Stat Geek Knows Exactly How Much Obama Will Win By
Nate Silver is the crazy kid who invented PECOTA for Baseball Prospectus and now he's made good in the political prediction world! Can I get a "Woop woop?" Baseball fans? Anybody? Well look, Baseball Prospectus is like The Bible to stat geeks, and PECOTA is like a particularly important passage in that Bible (John 3:16, for example), so the fact that this 30-year-old guy who made it up is suddenly the hottest thing in political polling is unlikely and heartwarming to sports fans and political obsessives alike, to say the least! More »
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Comment by ADismalScience: He uses regression analyses and sabermetrics, which is what credible/accurate/useful polls would do. Sites like realclearpolitics or whatever the hell... 6 Responses | Other threads
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horse race
McCain's New Stunt: He's Nice Again!
Here comes the McCain campaign reboot! It soft-launched on Friday, with the candidate angrily rebuking the wackos who go to his rallies these days. Attached: Matt Drudge's front page. Drudge has been broadcasting live from a bizarro world these last few weeks. In this world, people still like Sarah Palin and McCain is ever-so-close in the national tracking polls. (Also everyone finds it funny that Obama said "pie" a bunch of times in a recent appearance. That is one of those links, to a YouTube of Barack Obama saying "pie" a bunch of times.) Now, simply because it is decreed, it must happen: it's comeback time! What does that entail? Let's take a sneak peek at this week's new McCain narrative.
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By PareeneComment by tits.matilda: Oooooh - what kind of pie does Senator Obama prefer? 6 Responses | Other threads
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projection
McCain: Obama is "Touchy" and "Angry"
The cornerstone of so-called Rovian politics is "attack your opponent on his strengths." At its most basic, perfect level, it means attack war hero John Kerry for being a spineless anti-American coward. McCain tried it early this season: Obama is popular and energizing, just like a dumb blonde celebrity. Everyone cooed and said "oh good one Mr. McCain." But that line wasn't enough to get McCain through the end of the summer, let alone the fall. So now, yes, Steve Schmidt and John McCain have developed and employed a brilliant new twist on Karl Rove's old dictum: attack your opponent on your own weaknesses! More »
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By PareeneComment by rosaluxembourgeoise: The next step, vice-projection: "Joe Biden is an aggressively incurious, barely literate testament to the foul state of American politics; furthermore,... 9 Responses | Other threads
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horse race
Hey Barry, Don't Make McCain's Mistake
So this weekend, the McCain camp called up all the reporters they're still speaking to to be like, "fuck it, we're going negative." The reporters were like, "going?" And McCain's people were all, "no, like super negative!" Then Sarah Palin showed up saying nonsense and the press backlash was immediate. You don't call up the press corps to announce that you're finally utterly trashing your Honorable Brand, for good, when they're in the middle of tearing you apart for abandoning your Honorable Brand to begin with, guys. Sheesh. But Steve Schmidt can't grasp that it's not 2004 and, more importantly, John McCain thinks he is still the honorable one, because he personally dislikes Barack Obama. Regardless, Obama's in a fine position right now! He's winning, his favorables are great, his Brand is still in tip-top shape, and everyone is crowing about how much smarter his campaign has been. So why's he going and ruining that with this Keating 5 business? More »
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By PareeneComment by Truculent: McCain's half-assed decision to "turn the page" on the economy will be marked down in history as the day he... 7 Responses | Other threads
horse race
New York, 6:42 PM
Sat Jul 11
16 posts in the last 24 hours
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Contributing Editors:
Valleywag:
Ryan Tate | Email
Media:
Hamilton Nolan | Email
Politics:
Alex Pareene | Email
Investigations:
John Cook | Email
Entertainment:
Richard Lawson | Email
Weekends:
Foster Kamer | Email
Video Editor:
Richard Blakeley | Email
Original material is licensed under a Creative Commons License permitting non-commercial sharing with attribution.
