I love the righteous indignation from the war hawks. You mean we get thousands more soldiers just like we wanted but not indefinitely?! How dare he etc.
The surge combined with a withdrawal timeline sends a message to our military: You wanted more troops for a new strategy, and you got them. Now make it work—and fast—because you're not getting a blank check to bankrupt the country with this bullshit forever.
It also sends a message to Karzai and Pakistan: We are committing more resources in the short term because we will not be around forever. Get your house in order ASAP or be screwed when we leave you to your own devices.
As for advertising to the Taliban that all they have to do is wait us out… First of all, we have gone from ~30,000 troops to now 100,000+ this year just to eradicate them. If 100,000 U.S. soldiers can’t deal with a few thousand cave-dwelling militants, this whole exercise is plainly not worth the cost. Second of all… does anyone actually believe the Taliban would just give up if Obama announced we’d be in Afghanistan indefinitely?
@flossy: "we will not be around forever" - unless we later decide it's in our nation's security interest to be around forever.
Last night hardly put the military "on notice"; they still got their surge (albiet slightly lower than asked for) and they still got the assurance that they would have a significant input as to when and how quickly real drawdowns ACTUALLY occur.
@dbett: You've never heard of a boss sending a message to his employees?
The military claims they have been under-performing due to lack of resources. Now that they don't have that excuse, they have to put up results or it's game over. Of course they don't like hearing that--it's nowhere near as fun as Bush's more wars, more troops, forever M.O. but you know what? That's how it is now that the adults are back in charge.
@flossy: No, I think the substance of what he did was right - he approved of a surge. He also built in the flexibility for his military commanders to set the conditions for any future drawdown. He should be forthright that this is a clear buildup meant to "finish the job".
The whole date of 2011 sets up false expectations. If that place is a complete shiatstorm in 2011, do you honestly think the White House will simply throw up its hands and say "oh well, times up, let's go home"?
@flossy: That's my biggest problem with the folks who are adamantly against committing any more troops - I've not seen any counter-option that's any better (and I've seen a number that are much worse).
I was watching Maddow after the speech last night and couldn't stand her smug, condescending insistence that Obama is exactly the same as Bush, and is following exactly the same plans that Bush did in regards to Afghanistan/Iraq. There are clear, substantive differences in their prosecution of the war, and I'm totally fed up with the "anti-war left" (whatever the hell that is) insistence that this thing is exactly like that thing.
@flossy: If it is a shitstorm in 2011, it would be highly unlikely that this President would be the one to pull the plug, since he was the one who approved the surge. It would be his successor (whether or not the successor will be a "finish the job" or "get out while we still can" person, is to be seen).
@Go Like Hell Machine: Obama: "We Did Not Ask for This Fight"
Bush: "We Did Not Seek This Conflict"
Obama: "New Attacks are Being Plotted as I Speak"
Bush: "At This Moment ... Terrorists are Planning New Attacks"
Obama: "Our Cause is Just, Our Resolve Unwavering"
Bush: "Our Cause is Just, Our Coalition [is] Determined"
Obama: "This Is No Idle Danger, No Hypothetical Threat"
Bush: "The Enemies of Freedom Are Not Idle"
Obama: "We Have No Interest in Occupying Your Country"
Bush: "I Wouldn't Be Happy if I Were Occupied Either"
Yep, as far as the war goes I see a huge difference between the two.
@fuckingoldman: Okay, my original comment was too flippant, so I rewrote.
I guess I just don't understand exactly what people want out of Afghanistan. If it's to remove all troops, immediately, then fine, but be prepared for what comes afterward.
As far as your discussion downthread goes - I don't think this is about "winning", necessarily, at least in a clear, black-white way. If the President is to be believed, the "surge" is to buy Afghan and Pakistani police, militia, etc. time to prepare for US withdrawal. Which means training, leadership corps, etc. I can't really think of a time that Bush ever pushed this type of an agenda with any real plan (this was given a lot of lip service in the Bush admin, but I can't think of any time a clear strategy was pursued along these lines - correct me if I'm wrong!)
Ultimately, no matter what Obama does, there's going to be bloodshed and pain in Afghan/Pak. I suspect he's doing what he thinks is right to at least minimize this, or keep it managed. Immediate withdrawal leaves a lot of other countries on the hook for the mess and ensures a pretty high casualty rate for everyone involved.
@Go Like Hell Machine: I would like to agree with you about buying time for the Afghanis/Pakistanis to get their shit together, but I just don't see that ever happening. Karzai is corrupt as they come, and if the Iraqis are any example, they just don't care once we're not there. I'm for immediate withdrawl of all coalition troops. Let the Afghanis clean up their own mess.
I just don't think we should be involved anywhere in the Middle East. I'm as hawkish as they come, but I don't think there's any way to fight a politically correct war, which is what we're trying to do. I really liked the way Reagan handled terrorists. Remember when Libya was the terrorist stronghold? We went in and bombed the hell out of their oil platforms, and when that didn't work we bombed Mohamar Khadafi's palace, killing one of his sons I believe. After that we didn't have a problem with Libyan sponsored terrorists.
@fuckingoldman: You may, in the end, be right about not being able to "win" in Afghanistan - in fact, I'm sure you are.
However, can we at least agree that this doesn't seem like a flippant or ill-informed decision on the President's part? I mean, it's politically dangerous, it's actually, physically dangerous and it's generally managed to piss off people on virtually every side of the argument. And he had to have known that would be the case. So I'm not ready to simply brush the decision off as, "well, he's just wrong", or "goddammit, he's right". I don't think it's anywhere near that simple, and I suspect both of those answers are both right and wrong.
I would also like to note that this is one hell of a fucked up situation for any President to try to tackle, much less a President who's been in office less than a year.
@Go Like Hell Machine: Agreed, I think it was neither flippant nor ill-informed. You're also right that is a very complex decision, pissing off just about everybody, it's definitely a no win situation.
I am against the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan. I was against them when Bush was in office, and I still am now that Obama is in office. They are trying to fight a politically correct war, which just can't be done. No American lives should be sacrificed unless we are willing to fight to win.
@If_I_Had_a_Poodle: You are absolutely right. They call Afghanistan the Graveyard of Empires for a reason. Genghis Khan and Alexander the Great both got their asses kicked there. Nobody heas ever been able to win a war there. Me thinks Obama should read a history book or two. Or maybe just Google...
First start with the Ghaznavid Dynasty. It was founded by an invading Turkish army and lasted for 200 years.
Second, Alexander didn't get his ass kicked there. He conquered the entire area on his way to India. Although the locals were a bit uppity once he left for India, his rule didn't end until his death.
So like the myth of the Afghan Winter, your claim the "Nobody has ever been able to win a war there" is highly overstated.
@dbett: Alexander the Great did not conquer the entire area, though he did win several battles there. "In Afghanistan he faced his fiercest battles and grave loss to his army physically, mentally and financially." [www.afghanland.com] He never ruled the whole country.
As for the Ghaznavid Dynasty, the founder of the Dynasty, Sebuktigin, extended the borders of his realm to the limits of modern Afghanistan. [south-asian-history.suite101.com] Not quite what you would call winning a war and ruling the country.
The point is, do you want to see the United States bogged down in a war where only two armies ever saw any kind of victory, the last being in the twelfth century? I sure as hell don't. Thanks for making me more edumacated, really.
@fuckingoldman: Funny "Extending...his realm to the limits of modern Afghanistan" sounds like he won a war and ruled the area - for 200 years.
As for Alexander...yes he had a hard time, but he was a decisive leader and still pushed through to win his battles and establish his authority there - again on the way to his goals in India. Or as the link you selectively quoted continues: "After 4 years of battle he passed through Afghanistan to Central Asia and with 100 thousand reinforcements from Greece and newly captured central Asian kingdoms returns to Afghanistan and captures Balkh, Qandahar, Heart, and Kabul and begins his invasion of India. In Afghanistan he falls in love with a local cheif's daughter named Rokhsana (Roxanne) and they get married before the invasion of India. In India Alexander is injured and is travels back, as he reaches Baluchistan he fall ill and dies at the young age of 32.
After Alexander’s death, Afghanistan is divided amongst 4 Greek governors with their capitals being Kabul and its suburbs, Heart and Sistaan, Qandahar and Baluchistan, and Bakhter (balkh area) and ruled for the next 55 years. "
Anyway, I assume we have moved past your false claim that "Nobody has ever been able to win a war there."
As for wanting us to be bogged down there...not my goal. But, IMO a result made more likely by the dithering from the current CinC. If we want to get out, we need to commit to winning. Which is why it was sad to hear the speech and not hear the word "Victory" even a single time.
@dbett:But at what cost? Are you willing to send soldiers to die in a country where it has been historically almost impossible to win? I'm not. And what do we get if we do win? And that's a big fucking if. We need to just get the fuck out and cut our losses. We've been at war in Irag for almost ten years and what has been accomplished ? Nothing of substance. Billions of dollars wasted, tens of thousands of US citizens killed or injured, and for what?
I hate to tell you, but the US hasn't won a war since WW II. And that isn't the fault of the soldiers either, it's the politicians fault. We have the best soldiers out there, but the politicians won't let them fight to win.
Um...pretty sure Kristol also supported the Iraq "Surge" - which seems to have worked out pretty well. Unless of course you're rabidly partisan and have to find fault with it because Bushitler did it.
This article was posted for the purported proposition that Afghanistan 'surge' is destined to fail because Kristol supported it. And yet, he also supported the Iraq surge which pretty clearly did not fail.
Now granted, it was really posted just as a way to take a shot at Kristol, so...carry on I guess. ;)
Ah, yes, there it is, what the pro-war folk were waiting to latch onto with disdain - "the withdrawal date." Ignoring the fact that we CAN'T save the country from the Taliban. We can overwhelm them, blow them to bits, and whittle their numbers down ... but in 5, 10, 15 years time they'll come back again. Unfortunately, it is up to the people of Afghanistan to ensure their own freedom. It seems like the GOP would like nothing more than for us to stay there for decades "to ensure the safety of America." But it's that sort of occupation that has empowered the insane extremists out there to take action against us. I see Afghanistan as any country whose stability has been ripped apart by a stronger power: a land open to the worst aspects of humanity, and given easily to corruption. Naturally, the President has been trying to find the logical solution. We need a stable government, and a willing people, to take charge and forge their own future. And our President is looking for the same thing. B30,000 more troops may help to take on the Taliban for now, but how many innocents will get caught in the crossfire? Outside Kabul, most just want to live their lives ... and try to live in general. It almost seems as if most of the people of Afghanistan are just bystanders in someone else's war.
Personally I can't wait until the last Twilight book comes out as a movie. I will be watching it just for the epic lulz and WTF-factor.
I have to give Stephenie Meyer props, she may not be a good writer (she should be much chagrined at that chagrining notion) but she did manage to relate an experience of childbirth that it infinitely more disgusting and horrifying than actual childbirth (teeth and sparkles!!), which takes some talent in my opinion.
@Anne Boleyn: Oh my god, me too. I am embarrassed to say that the fourth book is totally my favorite, because shit gets real. Also the Stephen King–y birth sequence is just so gross and awesome. I cannot wait to see how they try and get that a PG-13.
@Anne Boleyn: I tried to work in some subliminal Mormon thing with that scene, but I was at a loss.
It was was just that fucked up for absolutely no reason.
@TheUptightMidwesterner: It exists! Part of the pro-life message. The mother is willing to undergo massive amounts of pain and potentially die for her freakish, stomach tearing offspring. She does whatever is needed to preserve the life of the baby! She knows it is going to kill her to give birth but she is totally pro-life.
But if you're specifically referring to the teeth gnawing through her stomach as some kind of metaphor, well yeah, you've got me there!
That's because Michael Moore's "documentaries" are actually nominated for Best Animated Feature. But MM's doom-and-gloom buffoonish shtick gets trampled by the Pixar magic!
What's more surprising is that Avil! The Story of Anvil! didn't make the cut. It was the first film nominated and is more interesting than anything Moore has done in years.
12/02/09
The surge combined with a withdrawal timeline sends a message to our military: You wanted more troops for a new strategy, and you got them. Now make it work—and fast—because you're not getting a blank check to bankrupt the country with this bullshit forever.
It also sends a message to Karzai and Pakistan: We are committing more resources in the short term because we will not be around forever. Get your house in order ASAP or be screwed when we leave you to your own devices.
As for advertising to the Taliban that all they have to do is wait us out… First of all, we have gone from ~30,000 troops to now 100,000+ this year just to eradicate them. If 100,000 U.S. soldiers can’t deal with a few thousand cave-dwelling militants, this whole exercise is plainly not worth the cost. Second of all… does anyone actually believe the Taliban would just give up if Obama announced we’d be in Afghanistan indefinitely?
Anyway, Bill Kristol can eat a dick.
12/02/09
Last I checked, Obama is the Commander in Chief. Ie, he is head of the military.
It reminds me Chris Matthews saying that he was surprised that Obama would go to West Point into the heart of the "Enemy Camp." Jeezus.
12/02/09
Last night hardly put the military "on notice"; they still got their surge (albiet slightly lower than asked for) and they still got the assurance that they would have a significant input as to when and how quickly real drawdowns ACTUALLY occur.
12/02/09
The military claims they have been under-performing due to lack of resources. Now that they don't have that excuse, they have to put up results or it's game over. Of course they don't like hearing that--it's nowhere near as fun as Bush's more wars, more troops, forever M.O. but you know what? That's how it is now that the adults are back in charge.
12/02/09
12/02/09
The whole date of 2011 sets up false expectations. If that place is a complete shiatstorm in 2011, do you honestly think the White House will simply throw up its hands and say "oh well, times up, let's go home"?
12/02/09
I was watching Maddow after the speech last night and couldn't stand her smug, condescending insistence that Obama is exactly the same as Bush, and is following exactly the same plans that Bush did in regards to Afghanistan/Iraq. There are clear, substantive differences in their prosecution of the war, and I'm totally fed up with the "anti-war left" (whatever the hell that is) insistence that this thing is exactly like that thing.
12/02/09
What the vast majority of the military folks do want is clear leadership. So far Obama has fallen far short of that.
12/02/09
12/02/09
12/02/09
Bush: "We Did Not Seek This Conflict"
Obama: "New Attacks are Being Plotted as I Speak"
Bush: "At This Moment ... Terrorists are Planning New Attacks"
Obama: "Our Cause is Just, Our Resolve Unwavering"
Bush: "Our Cause is Just, Our Coalition [is] Determined"
Obama: "This Is No Idle Danger, No Hypothetical Threat"
Bush: "The Enemies of Freedom Are Not Idle"
Obama: "We Have No Interest in Occupying Your Country"
Bush: "I Wouldn't Be Happy if I Were Occupied Either"
Yep, as far as the war goes I see a huge difference between the two.
12/02/09
I guess I just don't understand exactly what people want out of Afghanistan. If it's to remove all troops, immediately, then fine, but be prepared for what comes afterward.
As far as your discussion downthread goes - I don't think this is about "winning", necessarily, at least in a clear, black-white way. If the President is to be believed, the "surge" is to buy Afghan and Pakistani police, militia, etc. time to prepare for US withdrawal. Which means training, leadership corps, etc. I can't really think of a time that Bush ever pushed this type of an agenda with any real plan (this was given a lot of lip service in the Bush admin, but I can't think of any time a clear strategy was pursued along these lines - correct me if I'm wrong!)
Ultimately, no matter what Obama does, there's going to be bloodshed and pain in Afghan/Pak. I suspect he's doing what he thinks is right to at least minimize this, or keep it managed. Immediate withdrawal leaves a lot of other countries on the hook for the mess and ensures a pretty high casualty rate for everyone involved.
12/02/09
I just don't think we should be involved anywhere in the Middle East. I'm as hawkish as they come, but I don't think there's any way to fight a politically correct war, which is what we're trying to do. I really liked the way Reagan handled terrorists. Remember when Libya was the terrorist stronghold? We went in and bombed the hell out of their oil platforms, and when that didn't work we bombed Mohamar Khadafi's palace, killing one of his sons I believe. After that we didn't have a problem with Libyan sponsored terrorists.
12/02/09
However, can we at least agree that this doesn't seem like a flippant or ill-informed decision on the President's part? I mean, it's politically dangerous, it's actually, physically dangerous and it's generally managed to piss off people on virtually every side of the argument. And he had to have known that would be the case. So I'm not ready to simply brush the decision off as, "well, he's just wrong", or "goddammit, he's right". I don't think it's anywhere near that simple, and I suspect both of those answers are both right and wrong.
I would also like to note that this is one hell of a fucked up situation for any President to try to tackle, much less a President who's been in office less than a year.
12/02/09
I am against the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan. I was against them when Bush was in office, and I still am now that Obama is in office. They are trying to fight a politically correct war, which just can't be done. No American lives should be sacrificed unless we are willing to fight to win.
12/02/09
Repeatedly, if possible.
12/02/09
12/02/09
There, fixed it for you.
;)
12/02/09
12/02/09
12/02/09
12/02/09
I will if you will...
First start with the Ghaznavid Dynasty. It was founded by an invading Turkish army and lasted for 200 years.
Second, Alexander didn't get his ass kicked there. He conquered the entire area on his way to India. Although the locals were a bit uppity once he left for India, his rule didn't end until his death.
So like the myth of the Afghan Winter, your claim the "Nobody has ever been able to win a war there" is highly overstated.
12/02/09
As for the Ghaznavid Dynasty, the founder of the Dynasty, Sebuktigin, extended the borders of his realm to the limits of modern Afghanistan. [south-asian-history.suite101.com] Not quite what you would call winning a war and ruling the country.
The point is, do you want to see the United States bogged down in a war where only two armies ever saw any kind of victory, the last being in the twelfth century? I sure as hell don't. Thanks for making me more edumacated, really.
12/02/09
As for Alexander...yes he had a hard time, but he was a decisive leader and still pushed through to win his battles and establish his authority there - again on the way to his goals in India. Or as the link you selectively quoted continues: "After 4 years of battle he passed through Afghanistan to Central Asia and with 100 thousand reinforcements from Greece and newly captured central Asian kingdoms returns to Afghanistan and captures Balkh, Qandahar, Heart, and Kabul and begins his invasion of India. In Afghanistan he falls in love with a local cheif's daughter named Rokhsana (Roxanne) and they get married before the invasion of India. In India Alexander is injured and is travels back, as he reaches Baluchistan he fall ill and dies at the young age of 32.
After Alexander’s death, Afghanistan is divided amongst 4 Greek governors with their capitals being Kabul and its suburbs, Heart and Sistaan, Qandahar and Baluchistan, and Bakhter (balkh area) and ruled for the next 55 years. "
Anyway, I assume we have moved past your false claim that "Nobody has ever been able to win a war there."
As for wanting us to be bogged down there...not my goal. But, IMO a result made more likely by the dithering from the current CinC. If we want to get out, we need to commit to winning. Which is why it was sad to hear the speech and not hear the word "Victory" even a single time.
12/02/09
I hate to tell you, but the US hasn't won a war since WW II. And that isn't the fault of the soldiers either, it's the politicians fault. We have the best soldiers out there, but the politicians won't let them fight to win.
12/02/09
12/02/09
:shrug:
12/02/09
Kristol is the guy who gave us Dan Quayle and Sarah Palin. Enough said.
12/02/09
This article was posted for the purported proposition that Afghanistan 'surge' is destined to fail because Kristol supported it. And yet, he also supported the Iraq surge which pretty clearly did not fail.
Now granted, it was really posted just as a way to take a shot at Kristol, so...carry on I guess. ;)
12/02/09
12/02/09
12/02/09
12/02/09
12/02/09
But the pre-planned withdrawal just in time for his re-election campaign leaves a bad taste in my mouth.
11/19/09
I have to give Stephenie Meyer props, she may not be a good writer (she should be much chagrined at that chagrining notion) but she did manage to relate an experience of childbirth that it infinitely more disgusting and horrifying than actual childbirth (teeth and sparkles!!), which takes some talent in my opinion.
11/19/09
11/19/09
It was was just that fucked up for absolutely no reason.
11/19/09
I'm just looking forward to seeing them handle the hot werewolf falling in love with a newborn child. Gotta love the Christian values in this book.
11/19/09
But if you're specifically referring to the teeth gnawing through her stomach as some kind of metaphor, well yeah, you've got me there!
11/19/09
11/19/09
11/19/09
11/19/09
10/28/09
10/28/09
10/28/09