<![CDATA[Gawker: Pundits]]> http://cache.gawker.com/assets/base/img/thumbs140x140/gawker.com.png <![CDATA[Gawker: Pundits]]> http://gawker.com/tag/pundits http://gawker.com/tag/pundits <![CDATA[ Rachel Maddow Still Charming ]]> The Observer checks in with rapidly rising MSNBC star Rachel Maddow, the academic AIDS activist who has improbably ended up with a television show following Keith Olbermann's. She's in Denver, hanging out, getting excited about Joe Biden. Basically everyone still loves her. Our video department put together this compilation of her being, you know, cool. And here are some fun facts about Rachel Maddow from the story!

  • She owns "five or six" dark pantsuits.
  • She met her longtime girlfriend "when Ms. Maddow showed up to her house on a landscaping gig"!
  • MSNBC was staying at the same hotel as the white supremacists who wanted to kill Barack Obama.
  • She is awesome: "'I'll be upstairs, peering out the window, looking for any open bar within walking distance,' she said by way of good night."

But will her show be good? Sure, why not. This sounds funny:

Mr. Wolff suggested a segment called “Just enough,” or maybe “Rachel Ray.” As in, “Rachel: Re.” “It’s a homonym,” said Ms. Maddow.

Rachel Ray! Hah!

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Wed, 27 Aug 2008 16:29:34 EDT Pareene http://gawker.com/index.php?op=postcommentfeed&postId=5042663&view=rss&microfeed=true
<![CDATA[ Should We Bother Getting Offended by Rush Limbaugh? ]]> People are outraged that Rush Limbaugh just said something offensive! This is him talking about Barack Obama somehow: "I think it really goes back to the fact that nobody had the guts to stand up and say no to a black guy." Except Rush, obv! Racist! But, you know, who cares? This is probably a sign that the terrorists have WON but it is actually impossible to be outraged by this man anymore. Did you even notice that he said two even more offensive things about Barack Obama this week?

No you did not, unless you are Media Matters! On Monday, Rush said that Obama "believes it is proper to kill a baby that has survived an abortion," which is a lie they say but who cares. And, uh, yesterday Rush said this:

It's — you know, it's just — it's just we can't hit the girl. I don't care how far feminism's saying, you can't hit the girl, and you can't — you can't criticize the little black man-child

Do you need more context? No, you do not, because the formerly drug-addled host was just rambling, which is his job. It's nice work if you can get it!

Rush just signed that huge new deal, sure, and his audience is still scary and enormous, yes, but honestly? We insular New York-types don't listen to the radio because few of us commute anywhere, and if we did listen to the radio we would listen to something gay and elitist like "Car Talk" so the coastal liberals don't really understand that a) Rush's audience is still huge and "mainstream" enough to make calling him "irrelevant" premature and b) his audience generally "gets it." Sort of, at least. We all have crazy angry grandfathers who don't "get it," but for the most part it's just bitter white dudes who get their giggles from someone on the radio saying something borderline offensive, snicker snicker. Whatever, let them have their fun, and their guns, because that is all they will have in The New Economy, after the Mexicans ship their jobs to Hollyweird.

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Thu, 21 Aug 2008 12:36:24 EDT Pareene http://gawker.com/index.php?op=postcommentfeed&postId=5039961&view=rss&microfeed=true
<![CDATA[ Rachel Maddow: America's Next Top Pundit ]]> Rachel Maddow, liberal MSNBC pundit, was supposed to get Chris Matthews' show when his contract ran out, but MSNBC decided to capitalize on election fever and complete her transformation from feminist Rhodes Scholar AIDS policy wonk to television star right away. They gave her Dan Abrams show, even though everyone at the network loves Dan and his show's been doing well. But he's a soft-spoken legal analyst and she's a phenom in the making. She's the Keith Olbermann liberals won't be embarrassed to admire!

Keith, stentorian wiseass and former sportscaster, is clearly a raving egomaniac. When his ire is directed outward at figures deserving of his scorn, it's incredibly watchable television. But you cannot ever escape the obvious fact that the man, admirable moral center or no, is a smug jerk in private and public life. Which is a plus in televised punditry, but it's exhausting.

Maddow, smart and cool, is now poised to make the most of an Obama presidency. She presents a perfect liberal alternative to a Bill O'Reilley or Sean Hannity: not because, like them, she's a bullying cheerleader for Obama and his party (that's a little more Olbermann), but because she's principled enough to fight for the Democrats when they're right and criticize them when they're wrong, without engaging in the partisan horseshit of official party mouthpieces like Carville and Begala. (This, by the way, is the important difference between the liberals of MSNBC and the liberals of CNN: Olbermann and Maddow are angry constituents, not party operatives.)

In other words, she's an idealized version of her theoretical audience (educated urban liberal), much like O'Reilley is a caricature of his own (enraged suburban/exurban male). And mark our words, we'll soon be seeing her on the front page of the Times Magazine or Newsweek as THE NEW FACE OF CABLE PUNDITRY and then will come the longer psychoanalytical think-pieces in New York and The New Yorker (she's slightly less suited for that Olbermann-profile treatment in Esquire but you never know). Which, it could be worse. We like her!

Plus, as the 2000s have taught us, Americans are totally willing to and love out lesbians on their televisions (thanks Ellen!) as long as they're not really annoying (sorry Rosie).

(And in the [totally likely!] event of a McCain presidency, Maddow might actually do even better, as advocate-y liberals always operate best in opposition—which is why they always undermine the Democrats so effectively.)

[Photo: dipdewdog]

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Wed, 20 Aug 2008 12:27:23 EDT Pareene http://gawker.com/index.php?op=postcommentfeed&postId=5039463&view=rss&microfeed=true
<![CDATA[ Rachel Maddow to be Quietest Person With Own MSNBC Show ]]> Rachel Maddow is pretty great, right? We had no idea she had a doctorate from Oxford! Also—she's gay? We learned those things and other things in a Times piece about how Chris Matthews better watch his back. Now some say they're totally gay for her but we are still holding out until we see how she is with her own show, because not even she could make Air America listenable. Below, a clip of her filling in for Keith Olbermann, in which she tells the story of the day she didn't appear on Fox News.

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Thu, 17 Jul 2008 13:18:26 EDT Pareene http://gawker.com/index.php?op=postcommentfeed&postId=5026329&view=rss&microfeed=true
<![CDATA[ Chris Matthews Is America ]]> Chris Matthews is actually incapable of conceiving of "regular people" who aren't him. Which is to say, aging white men with blue-collar backgrounds, probably from the eastern seaboard. The stream-of-consciousness pundit just came out and explicitly said it on his show yesterday, asking, "can Obama now win over the regular folks, white folks, against John McCain?" White folks! They're so regular! Previously, Chris asserted that he knew for a fact that only "people with money play pool these days," in his insane campaign to convince everyone else of his dearly held belief that the only people in America who count are those who are exactly like his own cartoonish and inaccurate sense of himself, the millionaire television personality. Anyway. The clip is after the jump.

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Tue, 08 Jul 2008 15:38:01 EDT Pareene http://gawker.com/index.php?op=postcommentfeed&postId=5023067&view=rss&microfeed=true
<![CDATA[ John McWhorter Explained ]]> mcwhorter2.jpegAn excellent analysis of bizarre racial thinker and hip hop hating intellectual John McWhorter traces his evolution from academia into neocon hackdom, and concludes, "We have admittedly now left the frame of legitimate criticism, but there is a sense in which McWhorter has never recovered from the shame and trauma of having been beaten up by a girl when he was four." [ebogjonson]

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Fri, 13 Jun 2008 10:08:51 EDT Hamilton Nolan http://gawker.com/index.php?op=postcommentfeed&postId=396068&view=rss&microfeed=true
<![CDATA[ Lou Dobbs For Governor ]]> CNN shouter Lou Dobbs is apparently "mulling a run for New Jersey governor." Oh, please let that be true! Current governor Jon Corzine is quite unpopular and "Republican officials" claim the oddly orange-hued pseudo-populist pundit is "taking steps toward running" for that prestigious office himself. We cannot think of a better idea! For so many reasons!

First off, there is no better place for Lou Dobbs to rule than New Jersey, the blighted industrial wasteland split between hellish suburbs of New York and Philadelpia (and some beaches). Also: did you know that New Jersey has the fifth largest percent change in its Mexican immigrant population since 2000? It's up 86.9 percent! This will be perfect for Lou, who will finally have the authority to carry out the mass Ethnic Cleansing plans he formulates on his entertaining television show.

Also he'll be able to patrol New Jersey's border personally, keeping it safe from the boatloads of illegal immigrants coming in from the Atlantic Ocean. Maybe he could put a wall up between Jersey and its neighboring states? Then we all win!

(And when you run for office, especially one so high as governor, often times you are actually held accountable for the hateful bullshit you say. There are even occasionally times when the targets of your many attacks have a chance to respond on terms not set by you! So hey, Run, Lou, Run!)

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Thu, 12 Jun 2008 14:42:04 EDT Pareene http://gawker.com/index.php?op=postcommentfeed&postId=5015917&view=rss&microfeed=true
<![CDATA[ BREAKING ]]> According to MediaMatters, irrelevant New York Times columnist Maureen Dowd has a nasty habit of calling male Democrats fags and female Democrats mannish. Quelle surprise! [MediaMatters, Related, Related, Related]

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Wed, 11 Jun 2008 10:19:17 EDT Pareene http://gawker.com/index.php?op=postcommentfeed&postId=5015400&view=rss&microfeed=true
<![CDATA[ "Terrorist Fist-Jab" Secret Origin Revealed! ]]> Fox blonde E.D. Hill, the lady who coined the phrase "terrorist fist-jab" in reference to Barack Obama's affectionate exchange of knuckles with his wife, went on-air to "clarify" her remarks today. "Now, I mentioned various ways the Obamas' fist pump in St. Paul had been characterized in the media," Hill said. "I apologize because unfortunately, some thought I personally had characterized it inappropriately." How could we have made that mistake?! We all should've realized she was just repeating someone else's characterization. It's just too bad there's no record of anyone else making that characterization!

The closest the internet can come to coughing up a reference to a "terrorist fist-jab" that doesn't involve Hill is one comment on political blog Human Events Online. The comment was deleted. And also it was insane.

Michelle is not as “refined” as Obama at hiding her TRUE feelings about America—etc. Her “Hezbollah” style fist-jabbing—mouth-twisted anti-American speeches is STRAIGHT from ISLAM!

See? Don't you feel bad for Ms. Hill now? All she did was alter and repeat, without citation or context, a ridiculous deleted comment from some anonymous nutjob and present it as but one reasonable interpretation of a goddamn fist-bump. Looks like we all owe E.D. Hill a little apology!

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Tue, 10 Jun 2008 16:36:26 EDT Pareene http://gawker.com/index.php?op=postcommentfeed&postId=5015156&view=rss&microfeed=true
<![CDATA[ Barack Obama: America's Cool Uncle ]]> The "fist-bump" between Barack Obama and his wife Michelle in St. Paul the other night has already become a semi-iconic detail of an iconic moment—the first black presidential candidate sharing a funny and seemingly genuine moment of affection with his wife. Of course once the glow of "hooray us! we finally made it up to the blacks!" wears off among the pundit class, expect to hear about it again. The fist-bump, we mean—or, as the New York Times might refer to it, the "closed-fist high-fives." You will probably hear that it is a Black Gesture. Some particularly bent people will say even more confused things. Because these people are old and rich and out of touch. Much like the (admittedly AWESOME) time Obama "brushed his shoulders off," it was a simple moment that helped demonstrate that, contrary to popular belief, Obama is "in touch" with Real Americans. Allow us to explain!

The standard cultural arbiter of what Real Americans do and what they are like is someone like Chris Matthews. He's a loud, brash Irish Catholic guy, getting up there in age, with an admittedly solid blue-collar history (former DC cop!) who's been in a bubble of wealth and privilege just long enough to make him utterly deluded about the people in this country who live outside the wealthiest enclaves of the Eastern Seaboard. Over the last decade or so, he's come to decide that Real Americans are, basically, Nixon's "silent majority"—aging white men of modest means. Sadly he barely even understands what these modern-day Angry White Men are like, so he's extrapolating from his own time in their circle, decades ago. This is why he is pretty sure he knows that Real Americans drink like this, and hey, no one plays pool anymore!

But let's look at Obama's famous "body man," Reggie Love. The kid introduced the candidate to Jay-Z, popularizer of the shoulder-brushing phenomenon. He's a black kid, from North Carolina. The standard analysis would be that a kid like this will TERRIFY THE VOTERS. But the guy's a former athlete who went to Duke on scholarship. At Duke, he partied with white frat kids—all of whom almost certainly listen, maybe exclusively, to hip hop and R&B.

These are kids (meaning "18-35-year-olds across the entire nation), white and black, for whom respect knuckles are second nature. And Obama's bump and shoulder-brush, probably simply because he's such a natural actor, don't reek of pandering. Pandering is when, say, Representative Jack Kingston inexplicably and incorrectly appropriated "It's Hard Out Here For a Pimp."

Obama's acting cool, but relatably cool. Like a Cool Uncle! He's younger and hipper than dad, but still serious and Grown Up. And this is probably his best defense against crazy old Grampa McCain.

(And lest anyone accuse us hero-worship, we did think it was totally cool when Hillary downed that boilermaker. If the old rumor of her drinking contest with McCain is true, that is ALSO cool. But absolutely nothing else about her is cool, in any way.)

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Thu, 05 Jun 2008 17:29:26 EDT Pareene http://gawker.com/index.php?op=postcommentfeed&postId=5013673&view=rss&microfeed=true
<![CDATA[ Pollster Declares End of Boomerism, Rise of the Machines ]]> Pollster John Zogby is rarely wrong about anything, ever (except of course the 2004 election and the 2008 New Hampshire and California primaries, all of which he got 100% wrong), so we're forced to accept the claims in his most recent email blast as fait accompli. "Clinton's Defeat," it announces: "The End of Boomerism As We Know It." See, the baby-boomers are liberals who love social justice but they are also dangerously self-centered and egotistical, and also trapped in permanent adolescence. Thankfully, due to the disasters that are George W. Bush and the Clinton family, the biggest generation in American history will only get two presidents. Ha ha ha. As we said, Zogby is never wrong! Ignore Zogby at your peril! Zogby is good! Read more of his analysis below!

The Clintons are proto-typical Baby Boomers - committed to ideals of peace and justice but overwhelmed with themselves. They (we, because I was born in 1948) are consumed with being the center of attention, the bride and groom at every wedding, so much so, that the ends don't simply justify the means, they are one and the same. Getting elected is the game, the final goal, the definition of self-worth. In his recent book, former White House spokesman Scott McClellan decried the mentality of “the permanent campaign” that he said permeated the White House of George W. Bush (the other Boomer president), which in some respects mirrors the Clinton behavior.

Sad to say, Bill Clinton became best known for the hallmarks of Boomerism – self-centeredness and permanent adolescence—as exhibited by the Lewinsky affair and all the other, lesser controversies and scandals.

The obsessions and legacy of the Clintons led to what the American voters thought was their antidote—the election of Bush, the boy who woke up and discovered he was President. Of course, they were wrong.

Bush’s exemplification of permanent adolescence could be seen almost immediately. The big new story out of the White House in early 2001 was his penchant to award everyone with childish nicknames, but there were other indications. Then, discussing the threat of Iraq in 2002, Bush said “After all, this is the guy who tried to kill my dad.”

We soon discovered that loyalty and clubbishness trumped experience and judgment, and an inability to admit mistakes destroyed credibility around the globe and three decades of Republican prestige in handling foreign policy. All the credit that the GOP earned through Richard Nixon’s efforts with China and Ronald Reagan’s tactics to successfully unravel the Soviet Union from within has been lost by the inflexible, inward-looking approach in dealing with Iraq and, now, Iran.

After 16 years, Americans have finally declared, state by state, caucus by caucus, primary by primary, that they have had enough of the Boomer generation in the White House.

In the final analysis, Hillary Clinton is smart, charming—and the wrong person for the times. Voters have moved beyond Boomerism. Now, Americans will choose between an older version of duty, honor, glory, and a return to the American Century vs. a new vision of global pluralism, diversity, change, and youthful vigor.

Is Boomer Power gone forever? It is impossible right now to say one way or the other, but one thing we do know is that it has, at least, suffered a serious setback.

^^Lame, wishy-washy cop-out ending. For shame, Zogby. This surely means that Hillary Clinton CAN STILL WIN THIS THING. SHE'S ENTITLED TO IT, DAMMIT, SHE LIVED THROUGH THE '60S!

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Thu, 05 Jun 2008 12:28:21 EDT Pareene http://gawker.com/index.php?op=postcommentfeed&postId=5013484&view=rss&microfeed=true
<![CDATA[ Chris Matthews and the Legend of the Reddish Skull ]]> So Chris Matthews' new hair. It's... odd. Off-putting, at first. But doesn't it remind you of something? The hair, perhaps, of another man? A man who might hold the very job that Chris Matthews covets so dearly? Almost, Chris. Almost. [HuffPo]

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Fri, 09 May 2008 18:23:39 EDT Pareene http://gawker.com/index.php?op=postcommentfeed&postId=389191&view=rss&microfeed=true
<![CDATA[ Now What? (Hint: More of the Same) ]]> For some reason, CBS called Indiana for Hillary Clinton at 8 p.m. or so last night, hours before anyone else dared. Katie Couric interrupted whatever nonsense they had on at the time and the CBS news website dutifully posted their story. They even got a Drudge link! So there's a lesson for you: better to be first than right. Maybe as a network without a cable news station CBS just decided to let their election coverage team go home early? Because everyone else had to stay up until 1 a.m., when the hanky panky in Lake County, Indiana finally ended and Clinton won her tiny, tiny victory. A tiny vicory that was immediately stomped upon by everyone from Drudge to Tim Russert. It's over, all the pundits said. You can go to bed! But America can't go to bed, because Hil's still staying up for that 3 a.m. call. The death march continues!

Clinton just loaned herself $6.4 million. Next primary? West Virginia, next Tuesday. Hillary will win that one handily, which means another fundraising boost, probably. Still to come: Kentucky! Puerto Rico! Her chances of winning the nomination are lower now than they've ever been, but she's not actually going to quit. There's still knee-capping to be done! And if knee-capping fails, there's bargaining.

Carl Bernstein insisted on CNN last night that two separate Clinton campers told him she's going to demand the Veep slot. We still find that highly unlikely, but the longer she stays in the greater the likelihood that Obama will have to give in and negotiate with her. If not for the Veep slot, why not the Supreme Court? A cabinet position for Bill, even? Who knows what the hell she actually wants, besides staying in it until the bitter, bitter end.

(Plus, if she stays in, there's still the chance that some new nightmare will end Obama's candidacy—Reverend Wright II: The Wrightening or some similar June Surprise.)

So while the Times' Jim Rutenberg all-but-declares the campaign over, it might be wiser to listen to Slate's Chris Beam.

Worst-case scenario, she spends a few million more dollars and drops out in late May or early June. (Remember how long Huckabee stuck around, just to see what happened?) Better that than drop out tomorrow, only to have some damning revelation about Obama emerge over the next month. Clinton paints herself as a fighter, but her best shot at the nomination is now less about fighting than waiting.

Or hey, here's HuffPo's Al Giordano yesterday evening, before any polls had closed:

Clinton takes to the stage, claims "unexpected" victory, gives out her web site address and pleads for elder women on fixed incomes to send more money to the $109 millionaire. The following day they claim that $10 million rolled in, only to be disproved more than a month later when the actual FEC filing is due. Obama's FEC filing simultaneously reveals that he raised much, much more, from more small donors, and the Clinton campaign plays the victim card over being outspent.

Onward, to West Virginia! The whitest Virginia of all!

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Wed, 07 May 2008 11:42:11 EDT Pareene http://gawker.com/index.php?op=postcommentfeed&postId=388057&view=rss&microfeed=true
<![CDATA[ Chris Matthews Will Not Be a Senator ]]> Two years ago, rumors flew that well-documented insecure attention-whore (and MSNBC anchor) Chris Matthews was considering a run for Senate from his home state of Pennsylvania. On his recent, terribly sad Colbert Report appearance, an exhausted-looking Matthews mumbled that ever since he was a child, all he ever wanted to be was a Senator. (UGH.) (Seriously, UGH.) Sooo it's about time for that chatter to start up again! A New York Sun opinion-writer says Matthews could be Pennsylvania Democrats' best hope for winning a Senate seat in 2010, ignoring both the fact that that seat belongs to Senator-for-life Arlen Specter and the entirety of this piece. Really, Chris, it's not going to happen. Maybe if they award a special Senate seat to beltway journalists and Russert decides not to run. [NYSun]

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Tue, 29 Apr 2008 10:56:46 EDT Pareene http://gawker.com/index.php?op=postcommentfeed&postId=385176&view=rss&microfeed=true
<![CDATA[ Blood-Thirsty Pundits Demand Violent End to Primaries ]]> MSNBC pundit Keith Olbermann on how to deal with Hillary Clinton's never-ending campaign: "Right. Somebody who can take her into a room and only he comes out." Ok! As HuffPo's Rachel Sklar points out, that means he would like someone to beat her up. Metaphorically! Also, sexistly! Well, it's maybe debatable. Like that New Republic cover. Clearly stupid, but scale of 1-10, how vile? We won't wade in! We will say, though, that it's not even the worst of recent cable news comments.

The Daily Show covered this the other night. Skip to about three minutes in, when the pundits demand blood. "Look, we gotta kill her off—y'know, figuratively."

Sklar says: "To the fellow (male) journo I wrote to about this yesterday, who waved it off as just some colorful film-noir imagery, I say: can you IMAGINE if someone had said that about Obama?" Well we need imagine no more! Lovable old Pat Buchanan does do this in the clip above, when he mentions how often Hillary Clinton has "whipped" Obama. What a colorful image, a white lady repeatedly whipping a black man! But it's Pat Buchanan, no one even notices when he's casually racist anymore. (And obviously most of the grosser comments in the clip are directed at or about Senator Clinton.)

Cable news idiots just love violent imagery, they depend on it to make their miserable analyses sound exciting, and they're being utterly clueless when they use this imagery against Hillary Clinton. Which, once again, reinforcing misogyny. So shame on Olbermann!

Anyway, now you get to have a big comments fight about it!

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Fri, 25 Apr 2008 13:56:12 EDT Pareene http://gawker.com/index.php?op=postcommentfeed&postId=384145&view=rss&microfeed=true
<![CDATA[ Pundit Lapels Shockingly Bare ]]> Doesn't anyone wear flag pins anymore? HuffPo's Rachel Sklar, who carries an actual maple leaf pinned to a beaver pelt with her at all times, pitted the cable news network talking heads against each other in a brutal MS Paint collage battle, and discovered that while people get all up-in-arms about Barack Obama not wearing his little American flag pin, no one else does anymore either. Except Brit Hume, Neil Cavuto, Karl Rove, and Lou Dobbs. The last defenders of patriotism! Everyone else in America is too bitter.

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Wed, 23 Apr 2008 14:18:18 EDT Pareene http://gawker.com/index.php?op=postcommentfeed&postId=383233&view=rss&microfeed=true
<![CDATA[ Why the Never-Ending Primaries Are TV's Fault ]]> amazingrace.jpgSo Hillary's "leaked" internal polling numbers gave her an 11 point lead in Pennsylvania, and Obama publicly predicted he'd lose by 8-10 percentage points. TV talking heads decided she needed to win by "more than 10 points" to justify staying in the race. And Clinton ended up clobbering Obama with 9.2 percent victory! Then, oddly, everyone suddenly admitted that the entire Pennsylvania primary was an elaborate farce with no actual point.


"'Pennsylvania has settled nothing,' the Fox News Channel anchor Chris Wallace concluded, 'and it's all back two weeks from tonight, same place, same station.'" Oh, hah. Because in two weeks is Indiana and North Carolina. SUCKERS. And now we're in a weird spot where everyone admits that nothing changed and that Clinton's chances of winning the nomination remain highly unlikely but they are still encouraging her to go on with it by crowing about her nominal victory.

Via Andrew Sullivan, a slightly unfair look at how Hillary can still pull this off:

Now: Obama is expected to win North Carolina. That means it won't count. Because he's expected to win it, see, so when he does, it won't be a surprising enough result to change the way people on TV talk about the race. Which means it all comes down to Indiana. Which is totally up in the air!

Indiana has a lot a white people, but is it more like Obama-friendly Illinois or Clinton-friendly Ohio? Here's the fun part: we get to spend the next two weeks finding out! Except Indiana is not as close to the eastern seaboard as Pennsylvania so there will be many fewer famous TV people there.

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Wed, 23 Apr 2008 11:51:29 EDT Pareene http://gawker.com/index.php?op=postcommentfeed&postId=383126&view=rss&microfeed=true
<![CDATA[ A Brief History of the Longest Primaries Ever ]]> shermanpeabody.jpgSo! Tonight! Pennsylvania's Primary! The current CW sez Clinton will win—her internal numbers have her 11 points ahead, public polling has a slightly narrower margin. But she needs a HUGE win to, uh, overtake Obama in the popular vote. The delegate thing? Well, that's a much harder gap to close. Hey, remember how Hil was inevitable? Anyone? It was less than a year ago that she was the unstoppable presumptive nominee. What happened? We went back in time, with our magic Googling time machine, to dissect 18 months of campaign spin, media narratives, and pundit bullshit to figure out how Senator Hillary Clinton went from our next President to this increasingly desperate-looking figure.


October 2006: The Inevitable Hillary Avalanche Begins Rolling Down the Mountain of Victory Former Virginia Governor and, for a brief time, the Democratic Party's Great White Hope Mark Warner dropped out of the race before it even began. At the time rumors of a sex scandal briefly percolated, though he might've just had his hopes dashed by that notoriously terrible Times Magazine cover.

Guess what that meant! Hillary Clinton was now pretty much the "inevitable" nominee. But! "With Sen. Clinton likely to have the endorsement of most of the party liberal bigwigs, labor unions and activists, the expectation has been that one other Democrat will emerge as the anti-Hillary candidate in the presidential primaries." Another but! "Of course, politics abhors a vacuum, and someone will become the anti-Hillary candidate in the primaries. But given a lack of other Southern Democrats of Warner's stature, it is unlikely that candidate will have his potential to change the electoral map."

Also in that October (a year-and-a-half ago! Christ!), Senator Barack Obama said he'd consider a run for the presidency. Conventional wisdom was still divided on whether he was dumb enough to go through with it, but he was now the official anti-Hillary.

And in that same October the first Clinton-related OUTRAGE happened, with Elizabeth Edwards saying she'd had a happier life than Hillary Clinton, code for "better husband" and also "not a cuthroat ambitious bitch." At least that's how the Clintons spun it.

December 2006: Which Well-Spoken Fellows Will Decide to Lose To Hillary This Year? Obama's not-quite-campaign was the focus of most of the speculations. In a Tribune interview, Obama amusingly said that any match-up between him and McCain would be spun as "War hero against snot-nosed rookie." Well, we'll see.

It basically went on like that for another couple months—Clinton was still the inevitable candidate, John Edwards was someone you might have to watch out for in Iowa, and Obama was the anti-Hillary (unspoken: he'd end up like Howard Dean).

2007: Still Ridin' the Hillary Express, Next Stop The White House, Again Hillary was still inevitable, according to analyses linked by such guardians of blog conventional wisdom as Andrew Sullivan and Matt Yglesias. She had passionate reservoirs of support. The only people who didn't like her were the internet people who wanted Edwards or Richardson or maybe Obama (once again, shades of 2004 and Howard Dean).

Summer '07: Follow the Money! It Leads, For Some Reason, to Someone Other Than That Inevitable Gal! Then, in July of 2007, something odd happened! "Obama's money puts Clinton's 'inevitable' nomination in doubt" was how CNN put it. Obama's fundraising beat Clinton's throughout the "invisible primary" (the money race the year before any voting). BUT! "Howard Dean won the invisible primary in 2003, but was effectively finished a few weeks later after he came in third in Iowa." Silly internet candidates! Hill's inevitability was now "in doubt", but only pretend doubt.

But Obama kept raising more money, and gaining in the polls in Iowa, and then Hil "stumbled" in the October '07 debate.

Iowa: Hillary Loses Her First Thing Ever Then Obama won in Iowa and suddenly idiots were saying he was inevitable, especially since Clinton came in a miserable third place and surely Obama would go on to sweep New Hampshire.

Why Don't You Cry About It?

The inevitability argument didn't work! So Hillary moved on to "experienced" and also "human." Yes, she is human. She proved this with crying, which led to a lot of fairly offensive commentary and also a stunning New Hampshire victory that wasn't stunning because everyone had predicted it until Obama caught them off guard in Iowa. Then it was an open race! Where "open" means "between two people."

Then there was "I'm your girl" and the comeback narrative and things were swinging back toward Hillary's superior campaign machine and experience and Obama-as-Dean.

Well, That Scary Black Fellow Won Something Once Too, You Know

Obama came in second a couple more times in unimportant states, but then destroyed Hillary in South Carolina—Bill said something about Jesse Jackson and suddenly the campaign was about race! That was perhaps the strongest whiff so far of the "Hillary DESPERATE" narrative.

The Super Friends! But February's Super Duper Tuesday was supposed to end the campaign! For good! Specifically California and New York! It did no such thing. Obama "won" more states, but Clinton seemed to hold on to a delegate lead.

Wait, There's Math Involved? Except! Obama's campaign then did one of the smartest things they've ever done: they told every news outlet that, using "math," they calculated that they had more delegates than Clinton. And it turned out they probably did! This ended up on Drudge and has remained true ever since.

Oh My God Remember When Texas and Ohio Were Supposed to Finally End This Fucking Death March? When Hillary "won" Texas and Ohio a month later, the cable news chatterers all duly scored it in her column, but the next day's stories all pointed out once again that that nasty Obama delegate lead wouldn't go away.

It's Been Over For a Month-and-a-Half But It Would be Sexist to Tell Her On March 4, 2008, Newsweek's Jonathan Alter came out and said, explicitly, that Hillary could "win" every state yet to vote and she'd still never beat Obama's delegate lead. This was the official start of the "Hillary can't win, at all, and she's just in it for [insert conspiracy theory here]" narrative. The best the Clinton campaign could do to fight off that story was to try to woo superdelegates (underhanded! shadowy party bosses subverting democracy!) and try to make Obama melt down (Republican tactics! tearing the party apart!).

What You've Got You've Got to Give It To Obama Reverend Wright, Bittergate, and soft-on-crime-ness aside, Obama will survive tonight's Pennsylvania primary with his lead intact. Hillary may claim victory, depending on how large her margin is, but nothing short of a blowout will save her from having to resort to Superdelegate votes or a contested convention.

Which, obviously, is still within in the realm of possibility. And it might be amusing. But still—from inevitable to a spoiler in a year is a long way to fall.

(We blame Mark Penn.)

Editor's note: An earlier version of this post inadvertently appeared before being sexed up with occasional bold text and YouTube clips. We apologize for any confusion.

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Tue, 22 Apr 2008 13:52:47 EDT Pareene http://gawker.com/index.php?op=postcommentfeed&postId=382656&view=rss&microfeed=true
<![CDATA[ Pundit Underestimates Clinton ]]> hillary_slumlord.jpgHilarious Prediction Watch: "The Rezko business is also not likely to hurt [Barack Obama], because his principal rival will probably be Hillary Clinton, and she's not going to bring up the topic of questionable land deals." –Slate's John Dickerson, December 14, 2006.

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Tue, 22 Apr 2008 13:02:57 EDT Pareene http://gawker.com/index.php?op=postcommentfeed&postId=382646&view=rss&microfeed=true
<![CDATA[ Lou Dobbs Almost Calls Condi Rice "Cotton-Pickin'" ]]> dobbscotton.jpgThere's nothing wrong, obviously, with saying "cotton-pickin'" when you are, say, Yosemite Sam. But "one cotton-pickin' minute," while best avoided, is still less of a faux-pas than saying how you're sick of "cotton-pickin'" black people telling you how you can and cannot talk about race, which is more or less what baby-headed CNN anchor Lou Dobbs said on the air the other day. The occasion? Condoleezza Rice said something rather mild about how the United States has a racial "birth defect" on account of how the nation was founded on the backs of African slave labor and it took a while to get all that sorted out. But Dobbs is sick of people telling him to stop being so racist! "We've got to be able to talk about it," he sputters in the attached clip, "and I can guarantee you this, not a single one of these cotton—just ridiculous politicians should be the moderator on the issue of race." Good thing you caught yourself there, Lou! Thankfully, the CNN transcript omits the almost-gaffe completely, so it's like it never happened! Except for that YouTube clip we've embedded below.


Via ThinkProgress

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Mon, 31 Mar 2008 13:30:53 EDT Pareene http://gawker.com/index.php?op=postcommentfeed&postId=374166&view=rss&microfeed=true
<![CDATA[ Beloved Contrarian Still Delightfully Wrong ]]> iraq.jpgNext week in Slate:
Do I Have a Problem?
I'll fucking tell you when I've had enough.
Christopher Hitchens [Slate]

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Mon, 17 Mar 2008 14:51:20 EDT Pareene http://gawker.com/index.php?op=postcommentfeed&postId=368848&view=rss&microfeed=true
<![CDATA[ Everyone Loves Karl! ]]> Roly-poly Republican strategist Karl Rove has a bit of a bad reputation, what with his mastery of quasi-legal dirty tricks, spearheading of underhanded whisper campaigns, and cut-throat dedication to enabling the most damaging presidential administration in living memory. So everyone basically thinks of him as a figure of cartoonish evil, like Dick Cheney. But now that he's on Fox News as a commentator, the liberals who run the rest of the media are shocked to find that they actually like Karl Rove!

Back in DC, of course, everyone has always liked Rove, because he is genial and charming. And also because he always happily talked and talked to the press. Rarely on the record, obv, but a good number of unnamed administration officials were always him. And every week since he started at Fox another column appears about how surprising it is that Rove is so rational and calm and fair-minded and generally not hatable. David Carr is surprised to find himself liking Karl Rove! Slate says he is thoughtful!

Now that Washington Post media "critic" Howard Kurtz has weighed in with a column on the subject, it is the official accepted conventional wisdom: Karl Rove is nice and intelligent and likable. [WP]

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Mon, 17 Mar 2008 13:42:52 EDT Pareene http://gawker.com/index.php?op=postcommentfeed&postId=368792&view=rss&microfeed=true
<![CDATA[ Arianna Huffington: Nazi ]]> Bill O'Reilly finally asks the question we've all been thinking: "What's the difference between the KKK and Arianna Huffington? What's the difference?" He's right! Arianna has her name attached to a website that allows anonymous commenters to write mean things about Nancy Reagan—how, exactly, is that any different from killing Medgar Evers? Exactly. [Crooks & Liars]

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Thu, 28 Feb 2008 15:25:48 EST Pareene http://gawker.com/index.php?op=postcommentfeed&postId=361993&view=rss&microfeed=true
<![CDATA[ Hypnotic Video Of Ann Coulter Chewing ]]> coultergum.jpgYet more video has surfaced from Harry Shearer's magic satellite dish, the one that catches only feeds of television people engaging in embarrassing behavior just before they go on air. This installment begins and ends with brownshirt-friendly controversialist and faghag comedienne Ann Coulter politely requesting that someone cut up a line of Nicorette for her to snort, and in between we visit angry right-wing pundit Bill O'Reilly and scarf-obsessed network anchor Katie Couric. And more! Mildly unsettling clip embedded after the jump.

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Tue, 26 Feb 2008 09:00:12 EST Pareene http://gawker.com/index.php?op=postcommentfeed&postId=360776&view=rss&microfeed=true
<![CDATA[ How To Strike It Rich As a Black Conservative ]]> armstrongwilliams.jpgWe are kind of loving The Root, maybe unfairly called The Black Slate upon its launch by Washington Post/Newsweek Interactive (which also owns Slate, a.k.a. "The White Slate"). This column, by Lawrence Bobo, is a fine example of why. Here is the magic formula for becoming a successful Conservative Black Pundit:

You first take small incidents out of day-to-day experience and cast them as proof of a stereotypical weakness about blacks or African American culture more broadly. Then you caustically deride black leaders as compromised victimologists who would excuse even the most absurd behavior. And finally, you praise the virtues of a "mainstream" (read: white) common sense that knows better. This is a playbook worth studying carefully since, I'm told, the job pays well.

See? But because he is a liberal (and an academic!), Bobo's column is in "The Black Slate" and not published in 500 (white) newspapers. Unfair!

Secrets of the Neocon Noir [TheRoot]

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Mon, 25 Feb 2008 14:27:11 EST Pareene http://gawker.com/index.php?op=postcommentfeed&postId=360511&view=rss&microfeed=true
<![CDATA[ Tucker Carlson Still Has a TV Show ]]> Tucker Carlson, on John McCain: "I instinctively jump to the defense of anyone whose private life is violated." Tucker Carlson, on whether or not the Clintons still fuck: "Of course it's an issue." [ThinkProgress]

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Thu, 21 Feb 2008 17:40:06 EST Pareene http://gawker.com/index.php?op=postcommentfeed&postId=359408&view=rss&microfeed=true
<![CDATA[ Chris Matthews Sums Up Everything Annoying About Chris Matthews In One Sentence ]]> "Matthews says his job 'is to be provocative and say things — you know, "That's crazy!" — the way you might at a party.'" That's from today's lengthy Howard Kurtz profile of the famed MSNBC shouty person, which, in typical Kurtz style, uses many words, anecdotes, and interviews to say precisely nothing about its subject. Matthews: says whatever he thinks! Matthews: enrages Democrats and Republicans! Matthews: is criticized by some for talking about women in odd and uncomfortable ways! Oh, there's insight. You just have to dig for it. (For example, here's Newsweek senior Washington correspondent Howard Fineman summing about everything useless about Howard Fineman in two sentences: "'Chris asks a question, he often answers his question, and then he asks you to comment on his answer to his question,' says Fineman. 'Which I'm perfectly happy to do.'") After the jump, a brief history of Chris Matthews terrifying his staff, demonstrating a dodgy relationship with the powerful women in his life, and cursing on air.

Chris has consistently gone after Hillary Clinton with vehement misogyny since the late '90s ("Hillary Clinton bugs a lot of guys, I mean, really bugs people — like maybe me on occasion. . . . She drives some of us absolutely nuts."). So it should probably surprise no one that Matthews' "strong" wife Kathleen donated the maximum allowable amount to Hillary's campaign.

Another of the "strong" women Matthews is known for surrounding himself with was Tammy Haddad, the well-liked DC producer and former managing editor of Matthews' Hardball (full disclosure: we are among those people who like her). Haddad left the show last fall, first gaining a new title at MSNBC as a whole, then leaving to network to "consult" (she's been producing video for Newsweek.com). Since Haddad left the show, Matthews, now also acting as managing editor, has become even more of a terror to his staff (and guests). Which, for a man who accuses staffers of treating him like "some rape victim" when the teleprompter screws up, is saying something.

Matthews' issues with women are no secret to anyone who watches his show, but former staffers tell us he's actually reined in his gynophobic tendencies (esp since the wild and crazy Lewinsky years). "He can't control himself when it comes to women, and it's not malicious, it's just wildly inappropriate," one told us.

And hey, here's a montage of Chris Matthews cursing on-air. Best one is the last, from Super Tuesday, where Matthews berates his staff for "putting on shit."

Hardbrawl [WP]

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Thu, 14 Feb 2008 13:27:12 EST Pareene http://gawker.com/index.php?op=postcommentfeed&postId=356565&view=rss&microfeed=true
<![CDATA[ Matthews: We Love Hill Because Her Marriage Is a Sad Farce ]]> matthews-thumb.jpgShouty mad man Chris Matthews' primary selling point and liability is that he will loudly say any damn thing that comes to him. This morning, on Scarborough, this came to him: "Let's not forget, and I'll be brutal, the reason she's a US Senator, the reason she's a candidate for President, the reason she may be a front runner, is that her husband messed around." That's Hillary Clinton he's talking about, in case you thought he was maybe referring to Pat Leahy. See, Chris, unless "messed around" means "secretly gave Rudy Giuliani cancer and replaced him with this lunatic," that statement really makes no sense. Of course, it is the Clintons, so you never really know. Crooks and Liars has the video, plus a thousand angry lefty internet nerds piling on in the comments. [Crooks & Liars]

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Wed, 09 Jan 2008 19:16:54 EST Pareene http://gawker.com/index.php?op=postcommentfeed&postId=343045&view=rss&microfeed=true
<![CDATA[ Ann Coulter Now Just Kind Of Sad, Boring ]]> anncoulter.jpgTherapy patient George Gurley's long love affair with Republican propagandist Ann Coulter, 46 (now 48??), continues today in the pages of the New York Observer. It's the same old shtick from the fiery polemicist, and, like Ann herself, it's pretty damn thin: Hillary Clinton will "impose communism" on America if elected, Bill Clinton and Jimmy Carter are responsible for 9/11, the death of 3000 American troops in Iraq is no big deal, etc. Frankly, it's a little pathetic: Ann has pretty much tapped out her ability to provoke outrage, because we've heard it all before from her. There's pretty much nothing she can do or say at this point to shock or offend. Unless she's somehow satisfied with her increasing irrelevance in the national conversation, she's going to need to make some grand gesture that once again puts her in the forefront of American hate figures. We're not sure how she could do it, but maybe she could start by calling Barack Obama what the kids call "the n word." That might ruffle a few feathers.

Coulter Culture [NYO] [Image: Getty]

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Wed, 03 Oct 2007 12:50:40 EDT abalk http://gawker.com/index.php?op=postcommentfeed&postId=306526&view=rss&microfeed=true
<![CDATA[ ThemTube: Sleeping With The McLaughlin Group ]]> coulter_tinfoile.jpgWhile the rest of us are drinking and snoozing, the television is trying to transmit important information into our homes. Today, our special correspondent for T.V. punditry catches us up on the Sunday chat shows. Because we totally wouldn't watch that shit if you paid us. Get your tinfoil hats on!

No one is more responsible for the prestige of the Sunday slot than perennial political talk powerhouse and Saturday Night Live muse John McLaughlin and his "McLaughlin Group." After 25 years in the game, he is pretty much the founding father of network political pontification. The thing is, McLaughlin is like one of those college professors who's all serious and respected and schedules their classes first thing in the morning. He and his distinguished panel are up every Sunday at the crack of dawn, in their suits, and off the air by noon. Is this because they are consummate professionals? No. It's because they are very, very, very old, and along with eating dinner at three in the afternoon and being incontinent, early rising is what old people do.

I spent the weekend alternately nursing and nurturing a massive hangover, so I missed out on McLaughlin and his geriatric gang of early rising intellectuals. I was left with the rest of the Sunday talk show crop, "Hannity's America," and Tim Russert's "Meet The Press."

Predictably, both shows spent a ton of time analyzing the recent verdict in the Scooter Libby trial, which Russert quietly noted was "A trial which, I was involved in, regrettably."

Russert is an amiable, awkward, buffoon whose huge head and asymmetrical moon face make him look like a Picasso rendition of Family Guy's Peter Griffin. His "Meet The Press" is the follow-up to McLaughlin where he struggles to seem like he's asking tough questions to an impressive roster of policy makers and media luminaries. In this episode, he asked U.S. ambassador to Iraq, Zalmay Khalizad, to "strip away the diplomatic speak" and did not blink when when Khalizad responded by continually characterizing the Persian Gulf as a "neighborhood."

This week Ted Koppel was on Russert's panel pimping his new special "Our Children's Children's War" and I couldn't help but notice how unimpressive his current credentials (Managing Editor, Discovery Channel) seemed to be. How the hell did this guy go from "Nightline" to sharing prime time with "Croc Hunter" reruns? I guess I must have missed his Dan Rather moment.

The "Meet The Press" panel described Bush's recent diplomatic engagement with Syria and Iran as a major change in policy in response to Americans losing patience for the war in Iraq. The discussion allowed Koppel to outline the main idea of his current project which is, that the War On Terror is a conflict that has been going on for 24 years, is happening around the world and in places we didnt even know about, and isn't likely to end any time soon. Damn. Now we see why Koppel has fallen so far off the radar. The dude's a real downer.

You don't turn to Tim Russert and "Meet The Press" for a good time. As much fun as it is to watch Russert's facial expressions as the gears grind in his head each week, "Meet The Press" is largely a solemn affair, an appropriately stodgy follow-up to "The McLaughlin Group." If you want more fast-paced Sunday talk fare you have to wait for the evening to spend some time in the special place on Fox News called "Hannity's America."

Sean Hannity's America is a nation that rocks. You know this because he always begins the show with an intensely patriotic country song. On "Hannity's America" this week, that was followed with Sean's analysis of something far more pressing than "Meet The Press'" depressing War On Terror coverage, truly hateful media whore and frequent Hannity guest Ann Coulter is out being truly hateful yet again.

Hannity predictably feels his fellow talking head is being unfairly criticized. He alleges that the "liberal media" ignores controversial comments made by left-wingers while persecuting conservatives like he and Coulter. To prove this point he presented a top ten list of "liberal hate speech" history lessons for members of the "mainstream press."

I have always wondered how Fox gets away with touting their ratings success at the same time that the majority of their on-air talent relies on the perception that they're doing some sort of pirate radio broadcast. That point aside, Hannity's highlight reel did have some funny footage of Alec Baldwin screaming about stoning someone to death, as well as crazy with Joe Biden and Robert Byrd. Perceived left wing hypocrisy continued to be a major theme on "Hannity's America" throughout "2 on 2," Sean's blatantly partisan spin on the standard Sunday talk show roundtable, but it was a lot less interesting without the funny YouTube clips (even though it had it's moments, such as when Hannity described Roger Clinton as a "prominent democrat").

The show continued with features on child Palestinian suicide bombers and a theme park where Mexicans pay to cross a fake version of the U.S. border. At first I wondered why these segments, which were filmed in foreign countries, were on a show titled "Hannity's America," but than I realized that they kind of made me scared of minorities, and nothing is more American than that.

Hannity's unique apple-pie-and-ice-cream brand of xenophobia was further evident "Enemy Of The Week," which marked the President's visit to Latin America by contrasting Hugo Chavez's "repression" with George W. Bush's "agenda of peace and prosperity."

Hannity closed out his weekly romp through this great nation of ours with a bizarre man on the street segment where he interviewed couples in Times Square about their sex lives. In one final, attention-starved "only in America" moment, a man proposed to his girlfriend with Hannity and his cameras standing by—leaving Hannity to close the hour of war-mongering, stereotyping, and partisan politics with the absurd line: "bringing people together."

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Mon, 12 Mar 2007 16:10:22 EDT Choire http://gawker.com/index.php?op=postcommentfeed&postId=243554&view=rss&microfeed=true
<![CDATA[ Who's The "Pundit" Hiring On Craigslist? ]]> mystery.jpgWe totally didn't learn our lesson last time we stepped in a pile of Craigslist assistant-hunting mess, so we're bringing you another installment of help-wanted guessing game. After the jump, an ad from a "columnist and television commentator" who wants you to spend some "flexible hours" running his or her life from a "large and cheerful Manhattan apartment." Maybe we'll apply!

Columnist and television commentator seeks personal assistant to coordinate professional and household matters. In other words, you run my life from appointments to accounts to research issues to travel arrangements. Relaxed environment (I work at home—a large and cheerful Manhattan apartment), flexible hours, unbossy boss. Some experience as a personal assistant, or in creative endeavors, or in office administration would be a plus, along with relative ease around a computer. But personality, willingness to help out, and general sense of organization count for more. Send a resume or description of your relevant experience and we'll talk.
Run our lives and help us with research issues by telling us who you think this unbossy boss could be.

Pundit Seeks Personal Assistant [Craigslist]

Earlier: Who's The Park Slope Novelist Hiring On Craigslist?

[Image via Getty]

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Tue, 20 Feb 2007 11:10:36 EST Emily Gould http://gawker.com/index.php?op=postcommentfeed&postId=238061&view=rss&microfeed=true
<![CDATA[ Media Bubble: James Risen Is a Mensch ]]> Timesman James Risen, who broke the domestic-spying story, is humble, modest, and likes to eat at Subway. Also, he ain't looking to move to the L.A. Times. [MW]
• How will Jann Wenner celebrate his 60th birthday? By having 142 of his best pals for dinner at Le Bernardin, where they'll be entertained by Bruce Springsteen. They best part, though: The party is being hosted by his wife, Jane Wenner, and his boyfriend, Matt Nye. [WWD]
• Prof thinks pundits' accuracy should be tracked. Perhaps in a handy-dandy "Pundit Scorecard." Why hasn't anyone thought of that before? [WSJ]
• There's a new literary superagency on the block: Folio. We sort of hope superagents dress in capes and codpieces, because that would be fun. [GalleyCat]

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Fri, 06 Jan 2006 13:33:32 EST Jesse http://gawker.com/index.php?op=postcommentfeed&postId=147056&view=rss&microfeed=true