The demises of Ted Cruz and John Kasich’s primary campaigns almost certainly assure, in the absence of some intervening event or act of God, that Donald Trump will be the Republican nominee for President. More importantly, they present the opportunity to recall which political commentators insisted that Trump could never, ever be the nominee. Dozens and dozens (and dozens) of people got Trump’s chances wrong, but if you were to identify the wrongest commentator, you would be hard-pressed to find a better candidate than New York Times’ columnist and National Review film critic Ross Douthat.
To commemorate Douthat’s awesome predictive power and belief that saying the same thing over and over again will make it true, we’ve collected and celebrate the following Douthat predictions that Trump would not go on to be the Republican nominee.
Here we go:
Spoiler: Donald Trump will not be the GOP nominee.— Ross Douthat (@DouthatNYT) August 7, 2015
Trump won't be the nominee, but Chait is underestimating the craziness that would ensure if he were: https://t.co/ZzZN7J8Zqy— Ross Douthat (@DouthatNYT) December 2, 2015
Spoiler: Trump is not going to be the Republican nominee for president.— Ross Douthat (@DouthatNYT) December 16, 2015
Again: Trump will not be the nominee. But he just isn't going to fall much in a world where Rubio + Cruz aren't going after him.— Ross Douthat (@DouthatNYT) December 16, 2015
Once again: Trump is a really significant political force, but he's not going to be the GOP nominee: https://t.co/umhCizjVR3— Ross Douthat (@DouthatNYT) December 18, 2015
@michaelbd All I've claimed is that he won't be the nominee.— Ross Douthat (@DouthatNYT) January 20, 2016
1/ Okay, time for a last tweetstorm before the voting starts.— Ross Douthat (@DouthatNYT) February 1, 2016
2/ Thru the summer-fall-winter of Trump, I've tried to strike a balance btw treating the Trump phenomenon w/the seriousness it deserves ...— Ross Douthat (@DouthatNYT) February 1, 2016
3/ And arguing, first in a boring-CW way and lately in a provocative-cum-stubborn way, that he's just *not* going to be the GOP nominee.— Ross Douthat (@DouthatNYT) February 1, 2016
4/ The current polling in Iowa basically bears out my reasoning. Trump's support is deep, intense -- and narrow: https://t.co/JgMa8MRP7j— Ross Douthat (@DouthatNYT) February 1, 2016
[8 unnecessary tweets removed]
13/ So on this last day, I'm sticking with my not-Trump prediction, God help me. And I won't revise till after South Carolina.— Ross Douthat (@DouthatNYT) February 1, 2016
I'd just like to say that I never once doubted my prediction that Donald Trump would not be the Republican nominee for president. Not once.— Ross Douthat (@DouthatNYT) February 2, 2016
TRUMP HAD A CEILING HE ALWAYS HAD A CEILING I TOLD YOU HE HAD A CEILING I TOLD YOU I TOLD YOU I TOLD YOU YOU LAUGHED BUT I TOLD YOU— Ross Douthat (@DouthatNYT) February 2, 2016
I don't know what's going to happen, and neither do you. But Donald Trump is still not going to be the nominee. Goodnight.— Ross Douthat (@DouthatNYT) February 7, 2016
As I may have mentioned before I don't think Trump can be the nominee ... but damn (sorry!) can he make it hard for anyone else to win.— Ross Douthat (@DouthatNYT) February 14, 2016
@HeerJeet If I am wrong, it will be discovered. Except that it won't be bc Trump won't be the nominee :)— Ross Douthat (@DouthatNYT) February 27, 2016
My prediction, still: Contested convention, a not-Trump nominee. But Trump keeps proving that these guys aren't up to the job they're after.— Ross Douthat (@DouthatNYT) March 11, 2016
We’ve reached out to Douthat for comment on his Trump predictions, and will update this post if we hear back. In the meantime, we’re curious: What were the worst Bad Trump Predictions? Hop into the comments to tell us, or drop us a line.