Donald Trump is not going to be the president.
Trump isnāt going to let himself lose in any official capacity, of courseāthat would go against everything the Trump brand stands for. So when his numbers start dropping, as they inevitably will and already have, Donald Trump is going to save face the best way he knows how: Quitting before itās too late.
Remember, Trump had a blast during the primaries. Back then, he was free to spew any sort of nonsense he wanted. And not only did no one question him too seriously, but as his discourse became increasingly unhinged and racist, his poll numbers rose in kind. The more his poll numbers shot up, the more media attention he got. And for Trump, there is no purer joy. If Donald Trump is able to buy his way into heaven, itās just going to be him reliving the 2016 primaries every day for the rest of eternity.
Now, though, the Democrats are just about done squabbling, Republicans are out of distractions, and the cold, sobering reality of what our nation has wrought is finally settling in. Now that the fun is winding down, the small-handed prince of our countryās most base anxieties is going to start looking for a way out. Heās already laying the groundwork, saying on Fox & Friends that āit would be nice to have full support from people that are in office, full verbal support. With all of that being said, I may go a different route if things donāt happen.ā
But what exactly is that different route going to look like? As I see it, Trump still has about four opportunities left to get out before itās too late.
Before the convention
This is, perhaps, the easiest way out for Trump, especially since heās already had some practice. Granted, during his most serious bid thus far in 2012, Trump was only ever half-running at bestāand even then just for a few months. Still, it bore all the hallmarks of a classic (if unofficial) Trump campaign, complete with poll bravado and boasts of being a shoo-in.
Regarding his decision to pull out, Trump said (bolding ours):
...I have spent the past several months unofficially campaigning and recognize that running for public office cannot be done half-heartedly. Ultimately, however, business is my greatest passion and I am not ready to leave the private sector.
Of course, back then Trump just didnāt want to abandon Celebrity Apprentice, as The New York Times wrote just after Trump dropped out, ā[NBC] needed him to make a decision by Monday, when it was announcing its fall television schedule to major advertisers in its annual presentation in New York. Celebrity Apprentice is one of its most important programs, and the network would not be able to line up sponsorship commitments as easily with Mr. Trump as a āmaybe.āā
Now, though, NBC is out of the picture. NBC cut ties with Trump about a year ago over his then-still-shocking racist tirades. Meaning that, this time, Trump would have to lean on his various hotels and business ventures if he wanted to pull another businessman-at-heart stunt. Itās a considerably less glamorous move than a reality show, sure, but still a solid enough out for Trump to at least claim heās saving face.
Whatās more, if Trump gets out before the actual convention, he never actually runs the risk of party Republicans pulling the candidacy out from under him come Cleveland. So he gets to rail on about the fact that not only would he have done it better, he could have done it better, tooāif heād decided to accept the nomination, that is.
He just didnāt want to.
At the convention
This is when it starts to get fun.
Trump canāt make it all the way to the convention just to fizzle out with some lame announcement about wanting to focus on the business side of things. Whatās more, if he gets all the way to the convention only to quietly bow out, he is going to be instantly upstaged by whoever the Republican party decides to put in his place. This is Donald Trumpās nightmare.
Remember, absolutely everything Donald Trump does is about A) creating an appearance of having won and B) getting as much positive attention as humanly possible. To succeed in this scenario, Trump needs something huge to take everybodyās mind off the fact that heās backing out of the presidency. Trump needs to announce Trump TV.
Or the Trump News Network or Trump Broadcasting or Der Stürmer or whatever he decides to call it. This way, Trump gets to turn the Republican National Convention, where virtually every media outlet in the nation has gathered, into a press conference for the launch of his very own television network.
As Vanity Fair pointed out, his whole campaign has basically been building to this point. His constant bashing of the media certainly must mean he thinks he can do it better. And to his credit, Trump does have a knack for commanding a national audience. Why bother being President, a job he neither wants nor is qualified for, when he can do the only part he actually enjoys (screaming things on television) for the rest of his life? And if he announces at the convention, he gets to allude to the fact that maybe this was really his plan the whole time. Everybody wins.
After the convention
Things get dicey once the convention is over. Trumpās accepted the nomination. Heās having a good old time. Except his poll numbers keep dropping. The gameās getting less fun. And then to make matters worse, people keep trying to talk to him about policies, transition plans, and why his campaign is bleeding money. You know, things that have absolutely nothing to do with Trump, as far as Trump is concerned. Still, itās really starting to kill his buzz. And what if he actually lost?
Thatās when it hits himāheāll quit! At this point, heās already humiliated the Republicans, so he doesnāt need to worry about one-upping them with his exit. Hillary Clinton, however, is still very much an issue. Thereās no way his brand can survive Trump giving in to a woman. Which means that for this to work, heās going to need to hit her where (he assumes) it hurts: Heās going to need to paint himself as the victim of Crooked Hillaryās cold, heartless power-hungry campaigning.
Pinning his decision on his family would be the most viable option here. People generally get that. It allows him to say, āCrooked Hillaryās dirty campaign keeps attacking my children.ā Or, āMelania canāt handle this.ā Or āmy 10-year-old son, Barron, who I may or may not keep locked up in a basement because no one ever sees him, canāt handle this.ā Just as long he ends with, āDonald Trump will always put family first.ā Itās a sympathetic line and something people might actually relate to.
Plus we all know how much Donald Trump loves his kidsāor at least, how much he loves his daughter Ivanka (too much, some might say). Because in the end, who could blame Donald Trump, the Nice and Good Family Man, for making the noble choice in a crooked world? Certainly not Donald Trump.
After Donald Trump wins the election
This is both the least likely scenario, (because Donald Trump will not win the election) and the ultimate power move. He doesnāt even really need to have an excuse for bowing out at this pointāhe already won!
Donald Trump could even go so far as to say he just plain doesnāt want it at this point. Because no matter what happens, he will always be able to brag about the fact that not only could he have done it better, but the American people knew it, too. And now, heāll never actually have a chance to fuck up and prove his naysayers right.
After all, what does he care if he doesnāt actually fulfill all of his terrible promises? Because rememberāDonald Trump doesnāt actually want to be the President. Donald Trump just wants to know that everyone loves Donald Trump.
